Stock Deal: CBS ~$300+ Profit Per Person
Posted: Tue Oct 24, 2017 10:12 pm
I'm going to try to keep this one fairly short and sweet. That said, the process is a bit involved. BOTTOM LINE: If you have a brokerage account with an extra $6k or so to invest, I have a way you should be able to make (conservatively) $300 or more in the next month or so. Realistic profit is probably more like $400-500+ per person with an approximately 97%+ chance of the deal being profitable. Not a guaranteed profit, but very close to that.
Still interested? Here is what you need to do. First you need to have a brokerage account with somebody. It doesn't really matter who the account is with, as long as they don't charge sky high commissions. Right now Fidelity and Schwab both have $4.95 online commissions. Plenty of others are under $10.
Realize you are going to pay the regular online commission to buy CBS- simple enough. There will then be a Reorg fee for your broker to tender your shares, whether you do it online or call a person at the brokerage firm to process your trade. This is different than the online commission as there is more work for the broker to tender the shares. I'm guessing the Reorg fee will be from $25-45 per account- again it varies from broker to broker.
Now the good stuff- CBS Corp. Class B (Ticker: CBS) (yes the CBS broadcasting network- that CBS!) is selling their radio station business to a smaller company called Entercom Communications (Ticker: ETM). If you buy 99 shares of CBS stock, they will be converted into a different number of Entercom stock in mid-November. You should have approximately 500 or more shares of Entercom as it is a cheaper stock than CBS. The exact number of shares you get is determined by a complicated formula and won't be known till mid-November. As soon as you get the Entercom stock, check the value of the stock to make sure you have a fair enough profit and then you can sell the stock right away if you'd like to pocket the profit.
CBS is putting in a 7% kicker, meaning they want shareholders who do this to make an approximately 7% (or more) profit on the deal. They did one of these same transactions (called a Reverse Morris Trust transaction) back in summer, 2014 for their billboard business. The kicker then was 7% and yet I made over 10% after commissions/fees- not bad for a month or less.
Important consideration- why not buy more than 99 shares? Because you will likely lose money if you do. At the very least you will be taking on a lot more risk. See, CBS has a clause which says that beneficial owners of 99 shares or less who tender all of their shares will have all of them taken. If you have 100 or more shares, they will almost certainly take only a small portion of the shares and return the rest to you. In 2014, when they did this same type of transaction, they took 15% of the shares from holders of 100 or more and returned the remaining 85%. So you had a decent profit on 15% of your position and likely lost money on 85%- not a good recipe in my book. Who says wealthy people and hedge funds have all the advantages? Not in this case!!!!!!!
For those who have friends/loved ones with brokerage accounts, you can do 99 shares in each person's account if you like and all the shares will be taken. That is, you will NOT be prorated! The brokerage firm you have your account(s) with basically looks at the social security number of the person who owns the account to determine beneficial owner. For a joint account, they look at the person listed first and use their social security number. Parents who have lots of kids can really clean up on deals like this as they can buy 99 shares for each kid in the house!
Questions about the 99 share amount:
1. Q: Can you buy less than 99 shares if you don't have enough money to do 99? A: Yes, but please determine in advance that you will still be likely to make a profit. Also, you must tender all your shares. If you buy 50 shares, you must tender all of them.
2. Q: I have 50 shares of CBS in an account that is managed for me. Can I still buy 99 in my self-directed account and tender them? A: If you buy 99 you will be the beneficial owner of 149 shares and almost certainly be prorated and have the vast majority returned to you. Even if you tender only 99 of 149 shares, you will have the majority likely returned to you.
Although the exchange deadline is November 16th, most brokerage firms will have a deadline for their clients that is perhaps 2-3 days before that. Also, some firms might want the trade to be settled before shares can be tendered, which takes 2 business days. In other words, don't wait till the last minute to do this. You may be disappointed if you do.
There is much more info on this subject in my 6-page posting on SeekingAlpha.com. Type "CBS" in the top right corner of the home page. Look for an article dated 10/20/17 by Uncorrelated Returns titled "Entercom: CBS Exchange Offer Creates Arbitrage Opportunity." Scroll down below the article where the comments begin and you will see lots of information posted by this guy named Steve Moore- hey that's me!
Feel free to post questions you have either on this site or on the SA site if you prefer. Good luck to anyone who tries this. I wouldn't stick my neck out on this if I didn't think it had a high probability of being profitable. And, of course, I have no hidden agenda in doing this. It is more of a "paying it forward" type thing for me.
Still interested? Here is what you need to do. First you need to have a brokerage account with somebody. It doesn't really matter who the account is with, as long as they don't charge sky high commissions. Right now Fidelity and Schwab both have $4.95 online commissions. Plenty of others are under $10.
Realize you are going to pay the regular online commission to buy CBS- simple enough. There will then be a Reorg fee for your broker to tender your shares, whether you do it online or call a person at the brokerage firm to process your trade. This is different than the online commission as there is more work for the broker to tender the shares. I'm guessing the Reorg fee will be from $25-45 per account- again it varies from broker to broker.
Now the good stuff- CBS Corp. Class B (Ticker: CBS) (yes the CBS broadcasting network- that CBS!) is selling their radio station business to a smaller company called Entercom Communications (Ticker: ETM). If you buy 99 shares of CBS stock, they will be converted into a different number of Entercom stock in mid-November. You should have approximately 500 or more shares of Entercom as it is a cheaper stock than CBS. The exact number of shares you get is determined by a complicated formula and won't be known till mid-November. As soon as you get the Entercom stock, check the value of the stock to make sure you have a fair enough profit and then you can sell the stock right away if you'd like to pocket the profit.
CBS is putting in a 7% kicker, meaning they want shareholders who do this to make an approximately 7% (or more) profit on the deal. They did one of these same transactions (called a Reverse Morris Trust transaction) back in summer, 2014 for their billboard business. The kicker then was 7% and yet I made over 10% after commissions/fees- not bad for a month or less.
Important consideration- why not buy more than 99 shares? Because you will likely lose money if you do. At the very least you will be taking on a lot more risk. See, CBS has a clause which says that beneficial owners of 99 shares or less who tender all of their shares will have all of them taken. If you have 100 or more shares, they will almost certainly take only a small portion of the shares and return the rest to you. In 2014, when they did this same type of transaction, they took 15% of the shares from holders of 100 or more and returned the remaining 85%. So you had a decent profit on 15% of your position and likely lost money on 85%- not a good recipe in my book. Who says wealthy people and hedge funds have all the advantages? Not in this case!!!!!!!
For those who have friends/loved ones with brokerage accounts, you can do 99 shares in each person's account if you like and all the shares will be taken. That is, you will NOT be prorated! The brokerage firm you have your account(s) with basically looks at the social security number of the person who owns the account to determine beneficial owner. For a joint account, they look at the person listed first and use their social security number. Parents who have lots of kids can really clean up on deals like this as they can buy 99 shares for each kid in the house!
Questions about the 99 share amount:
1. Q: Can you buy less than 99 shares if you don't have enough money to do 99? A: Yes, but please determine in advance that you will still be likely to make a profit. Also, you must tender all your shares. If you buy 50 shares, you must tender all of them.
2. Q: I have 50 shares of CBS in an account that is managed for me. Can I still buy 99 in my self-directed account and tender them? A: If you buy 99 you will be the beneficial owner of 149 shares and almost certainly be prorated and have the vast majority returned to you. Even if you tender only 99 of 149 shares, you will have the majority likely returned to you.
Although the exchange deadline is November 16th, most brokerage firms will have a deadline for their clients that is perhaps 2-3 days before that. Also, some firms might want the trade to be settled before shares can be tendered, which takes 2 business days. In other words, don't wait till the last minute to do this. You may be disappointed if you do.
There is much more info on this subject in my 6-page posting on SeekingAlpha.com. Type "CBS" in the top right corner of the home page. Look for an article dated 10/20/17 by Uncorrelated Returns titled "Entercom: CBS Exchange Offer Creates Arbitrage Opportunity." Scroll down below the article where the comments begin and you will see lots of information posted by this guy named Steve Moore- hey that's me!
Feel free to post questions you have either on this site or on the SA site if you prefer. Good luck to anyone who tries this. I wouldn't stick my neck out on this if I didn't think it had a high probability of being profitable. And, of course, I have no hidden agenda in doing this. It is more of a "paying it forward" type thing for me.