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once the melt ban is canceled

PostPosted: Wed Feb 29, 2012 7:55 pm
by lance
Do you think people will buy copper pennies for spot?

Re: once the melt ban is canceled

PostPosted: Wed Feb 29, 2012 8:39 pm
by inflationhawk
Not as long as percentages are where they are in circulation.

Re: once the melt ban is canceled

PostPosted: Wed Feb 29, 2012 9:36 pm
by lance
How do u find out approx how many are still out there?

Re: once the melt ban is canceled

PostPosted: Wed Feb 29, 2012 9:42 pm
by inflationhawk
That's the million dollar question. Percentages vary all around the country. No one really knows.

Re: once the melt ban is canceled

PostPosted: Wed Feb 29, 2012 10:16 pm
by cesariojpn
Plus add in the unknown factors like hidden hoards ranging from some random joes jar of pocket change to some unknown hoarder with barrels of what cents stashed in some old abandoned shed, and you have a myriad of factors.

Re: once the melt ban is canceled

PostPosted: Wed Feb 29, 2012 10:23 pm
by John_doe
lance wrote:Do you think people will buy copper pennies for spot?




we will probably be able to gather a premium over spot one day, question is when will that day come?

Re: once the melt ban is canceled

PostPosted: Wed Feb 29, 2012 10:41 pm
by inflationhawk
I seriously doubt there will ever be a premium over spot as pennies are not pure copper. The cost to purify the copper will likely prevent the penny from carrying a premium over spot.

Re: once the melt ban is canceled

PostPosted: Thu Mar 01, 2012 10:10 am
by highroller4321
inflationhawk wrote:I seriously doubt there will ever be a premium over spot as pennies are not pure copper. The cost to purify the copper will likely prevent the penny from carrying a premium over spot.



There is a premium on 90% silver, which isn't pure. The 95% copper 5% zinc mix is actually a common allow that is used in production today.




To answer the original question..I think the pennies will bring very closer to melt value once the ban is lifted.

Re: once the melt ban is canceled

PostPosted: Thu Mar 01, 2012 10:38 am
by Bluegill
highroller4321 wrote:
inflationhawk wrote:I seriously doubt there will ever be a premium over spot as pennies are not pure copper. The cost to purify the copper will likely prevent the penny from carrying a premium over spot.



There is a premium on 90% silver, which isn't pure. The 95% copper 5% zinc mix is actually a common allow that is used in production today.




To answer the original question..I think the pennies will bring very closer to melt value once the ban is lifted.


Ag is a precious metal, Cu is an industrial metal. Not really a fair comparison.

The penny is a brass alloy. Refiners will just add more Zn to accommodate their customers who are in the market for brass. Plus, being a known alloy, as highroller brought up, they will most likely just get melted and resold as the same 95/5 alloy (if acquired in quantity). The refiners can save costs because of this and most likely be passed down as a small premium to the seller.

Re: once the melt ban is canceled

PostPosted: Thu Mar 01, 2012 12:33 pm
by Lemon Thrower
i think there will be numi and there will be copper.

copper will be like sterling. it will be liquid but will trade at say 85% of melt. now, you might think that is too low but look at where sterling sells.

Re: once the melt ban is canceled

PostPosted: Thu Mar 01, 2012 2:02 pm
by ZenOps
Canadian pennies will probably have a premium, the vast majority of them are 98% copper 1.75% tin 0.25% zinc.

That little 1.75% tin makes a difference. Tin is hovering around $11 pound, whereas many smelters would just "burn off" zinc.

Re: once the melt ban is canceled

PostPosted: Thu Mar 01, 2012 3:30 pm
by Robarons
Whats more interesting is that if the Ban is lifted whats going to happen?

Are places going to be aware that they can melt them legally if the ban is lifted (will they be informed?) Are scrap yards going to buy copper pennies? If so how do they they know their not zinc mixed in?
Will refiners be ready? etc.

The Dealer market wont develop until there is something backing the price- in this case is copper. 90% silver has value to a dealer because if he buys 90% off the street he can sell it to a refiner if he cannot resell it as 90%. Like wise 90% is valuable to me because I can sell it to a refiner as well.

If a dealer buys 95% copper and cannot sell it as 95% copper, what does he do? If he does sell 95% copper back to the public- how does the public get the utility from the copper if they want to sell or use it?

A structure of demand needs to be created to make everyone 'demand' the item. Alot of copper's value comes from its 'demand' to be used in applications so the idea you can willingly sell at market prices will set that demand- with some structure to handle it.

Re: once the melt ban is canceled

PostPosted: Thu Mar 01, 2012 4:31 pm
by Lemon Thrower
fair points Ro but the same is true of 90% - there could be clad mixed in.

Re: once the melt ban is canceled

PostPosted: Thu Mar 01, 2012 5:33 pm
by lance
Well i guess lets just hope the time and effort was all worth it!

Re: once the melt ban is canceled

PostPosted: Thu Mar 01, 2012 5:38 pm
by strikeaxe
lance wrote:Well i guess lets just hope the time and effort was all worth it!



I sure they said the same thing in 64. They keep destroying the value of the fiat and ppl will want anything real. I still think a exchange will exist in it's non-melted form after all you only need to look at the buy it now section to see it selling all day long.

Re: once the melt ban is canceled

PostPosted: Mon Mar 05, 2012 11:49 pm
by John_doe
lance wrote:Do you think people will buy copper pennies for spot?



if they don't, scrap em.

Re: once the melt ban is canceled

PostPosted: Tue Mar 06, 2012 2:29 am
by crazypennyguy
highroller4321 wrote:To answer the original question..I think the pennies will bring very closer to melt value once the ban is lifted.


I agree, but it might take some time to settle on spot.

Re: once the melt ban is canceled

PostPosted: Sat Mar 10, 2012 10:49 pm
by Number21
Simple. Just melt them down and put the bars on ebay. You'll get double spot or more....

Re: once the melt ban is canceled

PostPosted: Sat Mar 10, 2012 11:32 pm
by lance
[shucks]....they are selling 1oz copper coins on ebay with a liberty type stamp for like 2 or 3 bucks...thats damn near the price of a pound