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Percent of wheats/pre-40s

PostPosted: Tue Dec 18, 2012 11:38 pm
by scyther
I've been getting like no pre-40 wheats lately so I was just wondering...

What percent of pennies in circulation do you find are wheat pennies? And of those, what percent do you think are pre-40?

For me, I calculated one time that it was about 0.4% wheat. I've never calculated exactly, but I think I get maybe 10-15% pre-40 and probably less than 5% pre-30.

Getting sick of this shortage I've been seeing lately...

Re: Percent of wheats/pre-40s

PostPosted: Tue Dec 18, 2012 11:53 pm
by Romalae
In my circumstances, finding a pre-1940 Wheatie in a penny box is basically equivalent to finding a silver Roosie in a dime box -- approx. one coin a box. So that's 1 / 2,500. This doesn't ring true for all cases, but it tends to be my average. As for all Wheaties in general, I'd say I get probably 10 a box.

I'm not sure what could be causing your Wheatie drought. It's just bad luck I suppose. Just keep sorting and it'll get better. :mrgreen:

Re: Percent of wheats/pre-40s

PostPosted: Wed Dec 19, 2012 12:18 am
by uthminsta
I don't keep track of exact numbers of the total wheats, but a good bag has about half a roll of wheats. In other words, about a half percent comes out wheat. Your .4% is probably about right, or at least it probably is for you. I bet that varies.

As for pre-40's, I've kept track of those finds for years over on the monthly pre-40 tracking threads. But I only started keeping better track THIS MONTH as to how many I've sorted to YIELD those finds. So far, after sorting $340 in December, I've found 12 pre40 wheats. And one Indian, but that's not part of this discussion. Let's just call it a pre-40.

13 coins out of 34000. That comes to just a little less than one per box. But I sort mostly bags - this $340 was 6 bags and 80 rolls - so yeah... about 2 per bag, or one per box, or .038%. That is sure to vary as I sort the two bags calling my name right now....

Re: Percent of wheats/pre-40s

PostPosted: Wed Dec 19, 2012 1:54 am
by scyther
Romalae wrote:I'm not sure what could be causing your Wheatie drought. It's just bad luck I suppose. Just keep sorting and it'll get better. :mrgreen:

Not a wheatie drought... just a pre-40 drought. The last few bags/boxes have actually been slightly better than average for total wheats. I did finally find a 1936 tonight, but that's not very exciting. I probably get twice as many in the 30s as I do 10s and 20s together.

Hm I wonder if I'll ever be able to get one of each year. Completing the Dansco album from circulation is out of the question, but I'm not sure I can even get a complete year set... maybe.

Re: Percent of wheats/pre-40s

PostPosted: Wed Dec 19, 2012 2:36 am
by uthminsta
scyther wrote:Hm I wonder if I'll ever be able to get one of each year.

Good luck with 1922. I recall finally buying a 22D a few years ago, and noting that with that purchase, I had completed a "one-per-year" set all the way back into the 1870's. 7.16 million that year, which is the least of any Lincoln-era year. The next tier down would be 1931-32-33. Also very low total mintages those years because of the depression. I suppose that is part of the reason for the extremely low mintage on the 31-S.
Check out this chart I just made with the total cent mintages (across all mints) for the pre-1940 years.
1922 … 7,160,000
1932 … 19,562,000
1933 … 20,560,000
1931 … 24,742,000
1921 … 54,431,000
1915 … 55,975,120
1914 … 80,568,432
1912 … 82,995,060
1923 … 83,423,000
1924 … 89,394,000
1913 … 98,437,352
1909 … 103,006,618
1911 … 117,875,787
1910 … 152,846,218
1928 … 182,552,000
1927 … 185,886,000
1925 … 188,909,000
1926 … 189,658,000
1916 … 190,299,677
1938 … 191,886,734
1930 … 221,801,000
1934 … 243,526,000
1929 … 277,140,000
1917 … 285,169,785
1935 … 331,040,000
1918 … 370,614,634
1936 … 379,387,569
1939 … 383,709,520
1937 … 394,109,320
1920 … 405,665,000
1919 … 588,935,000
TOTAL ... 6,001,265,826.
Six billion wheats minted from 1909-1939. Compare that with 20 billion minted from 1940-1958.

Re: Percent of wheats/pre-40s

PostPosted: Wed Dec 19, 2012 3:39 am
by scyther
uthminsta wrote:
scyther wrote:Hm I wonder if I'll ever be able to get one of each year.

Good luck with 1922. I recall finally buying a 22D a few years ago, and noting that with that purchase, I had completed a "one-per-year" set all the way back into the 1870's. 7.16 million that year, which is the least of any Lincoln-era year. The next tier down would be 1931-32-33. Also very low total mintages those years because of the depression. I suppose that is part of the reason for the extremely low mintage on the 31-S.
Check out this chart I just made with the total cent mintages (across all mints) for the pre-1940 years.
1922 … 7,160,000
1932 … 19,562,000
1933 … 20,560,000
1931 … 24,742,000
1921 … 54,431,000
1915 … 55,975,120
1914 … 80,568,432
1912 … 82,995,060
1923 … 83,423,000
1924 … 89,394,000
1913 … 98,437,352
1909 … 103,006,618
1911 … 117,875,787
1910 … 152,846,218
1928 … 182,552,000
1927 … 185,886,000
1925 … 188,909,000
1926 … 189,658,000
1916 … 190,299,677
1938 … 191,886,734
1930 … 221,801,000
1934 … 243,526,000
1929 … 277,140,000
1917 … 285,169,785
1935 … 331,040,000
1918 … 370,614,634
1936 … 379,387,569
1939 … 383,709,520
1937 … 394,109,320
1920 … 405,665,000
1919 … 588,935,000
TOTAL ... 6,001,265,826.
Six billion wheats minted from 1909-1939. Compare that with 20 billion minted from 1940-1958.

Damn. So the rarest I have is a 1913. I should probably have just bought the memorial book... oh well! Thanks for the info.

Re: Percent of wheats/pre-40s

PostPosted: Wed Dec 19, 2012 9:35 am
by AdamsSamoa
Found a 1919 wheat last nght in a CWR... Made my day.

Re: Percent of wheats/pre-40s

PostPosted: Wed Dec 19, 2012 10:56 am
by uthminsta
scyther wrote:So the rarest I have is a 1913. I should probably have just bought the memorial book...

Nah, just get Lincoln books 1-3 and take it slow. The fun is in the hunt, not the completion! :)
And keep in mind, those are the TOTAL year Lincoln mintages, not individual coin mintages. Check out the individual list by doing a Google search for "lincoln mintage figures" or just click here for one such list:
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Lincoln_ce ... ge_figures

Re: Percent of wheats/pre-40s

PostPosted: Wed Dec 19, 2012 11:37 am
by hammerrob
For me, wheats are about .5%. Of those wheats, about 12% are pre-40, and only 3% are pre-30. I have to agree that the pre-40's have seemed pretty scarce over the last couple months!

Re: Percent of wheats/pre-40s

PostPosted: Wed Dec 19, 2012 12:05 pm
by uthminsta
big picture of the mintages:
6 billion from 1909-1939.
20 billion from 1940-1958.
158 billion from 1959-1982.
287 billion from 1983-2012.
471 billion total...
or 184 billion copper, compared to 287 billion zinc.

Re: Percent of wheats/pre-40s

PostPosted: Wed Dec 19, 2012 12:17 pm
by creshka46
My results are similar to those that other's have posted. On average, I find 1 wheat penny every $3.50 or so (about 0.3%) of those, I'd say pre 40's are less than 5%, probably 1/25, or 1/30

Re: Percent of wheats/pre-40s

PostPosted: Wed Dec 19, 2012 12:21 pm
by hags
Pre 40 wheaties, I'm at 1 / 1470 or .068% of all after 205.5 bags sorted..

If your using a Ryedale and running a copper accept only, you'll miss a lot of the pre 40 wheaties that are rejected into the zinc pile.
In my last 27 bags I would have missed 52 had I not run the zinc accept.
I found a total of 55 in the same 27 bags, so only 3 were accepted as copper...
It's best to run a zinc accept first then run the copper thru on a copper accept....the pre 40s will show up in the reject bin on the second pass.

hags

Re: Percent of wheats/pre-40s

PostPosted: Wed Dec 19, 2012 12:37 pm
by uthminsta
hags wrote:the pre 40s will show up in the reject bin on the second pass.

I just switched to the approach you mentioned. That reject box is fun to sift through... it's the FUN STUFF!

Re: Percent of wheats/pre-40s

PostPosted: Wed Dec 19, 2012 4:55 pm
by creshka46
Yeah, I do it the same way and the reject-rejects are my favorite part! Dimes, canadians, early wheats, I even found an old George V sterling dime in there. Good stuff!

Re: Percent of wheats/pre-40s

PostPosted: Wed Dec 19, 2012 5:05 pm
by NJ Sorter
I have only gone through a small number of boxes so far, but I average around 15 (usually 10-20) total wheats per box. Of those, maybe 1 or 2 is a pre-1940. I have them separated but not counted, but i know there are a LOT less pre-1940s. I feel like I hit gold when I find one!

Re: Percent of wheats/pre-40s

PostPosted: Wed Dec 19, 2012 6:01 pm
by spacemanX
some additional statistics:
25.8 billion wheats produced between 1909 and 1958
35.9 % 1950's
40.8 % 1940's
8.6 % 1930's
6.5% 1920's
8.2 % 1910's including 1909

therefore it is more probable to find a teen's penny than a 20's.

i have found the same ratio's per box as the rest 10-20 per box, and one pre 40's average.

Re: Percent of wheats/pre-40s

PostPosted: Wed Dec 19, 2012 8:58 pm
by Mr Paradise
My last 8 boxes, I've only pulled out 2 pre-40's.

Re: Percent of wheats/pre-40s

PostPosted: Wed Dec 19, 2012 10:40 pm
by scyther
spacemanX wrote:6.5% 1920's
8.2 % 1910's including 1909

therefore it is more probable to find a teen's penny than a 20's.

Interesting. I had noticed that I seemed to find more 10s than 20s, but with such a small sample size I wasn't sure if that was to be expected.

Anyway I found a 1919 (again-I think I have 7 so far), a 1920 (yes!) and two from the 30s in the last bag, so I guess the drought's over.

Re: Percent of wheats/pre-40s

PostPosted: Thu Dec 20, 2012 2:48 am
by TwoAndAHalfCents
Nearly 400,000 pennies sorted and I am averaging about 8 wheats per box. The pre-40's are less then one per box. More like 2 pennies per every 3 boxes. However, I have been getting more from the twenties than the teens.

1909 - 3
1910's - 18
1920's - 31
1930's - 51
1940's - 427
1950's - 736
and seven with unreadable dates

Re: Percent of wheats/pre-40s

PostPosted: Thu Dec 20, 2012 11:01 pm
by exbingoaddict
Market Harmony crunched the numbers on wheats out there. Check it out below:


http://marketharmony.net/uploads/pennies_in_circulation.pdf

Re: Percent of wheats/pre-40s

PostPosted: Tue Jan 01, 2013 8:47 pm
by Franco American
I sorted 1 to 2 boxes each week last year. I tracked my wheat finds during the time and only accumulated 34 pre-1940 wheat cents plus 3 IH pennies. For the post 1940 wheats, I found the most wheat pennies by year in 1944 and 1956D - found 43 of each. Rounding out the top 5:
1957D - 40
1952D - 36
1953D - 35

Re: Percent of wheats/pre-40s

PostPosted: Thu Jan 03, 2013 12:40 pm
by spacemanX
exbingoaddict wrote:Market Harmony crunched the numbers on wheats out there. Check it out below:


http://marketharmony.net/uploads/pennies_in_circulation.pdf


been digesting this statistic, and here is another observation:
per the info from marketharmony,
wheats in circulaton 455,624,798
pennies in circulation 219,144,736,324
percentage of wheats in circulation = 0.207910

therefore estimate for a $25 box would be 5.2 wheats per box, and many of us are getting closer to 10 or so per box.

Re: Percent of wheats/pre-40s

PostPosted: Fri Jan 04, 2013 1:28 pm
by Zincanator
spacemanX wrote:therefore estimate for a $25 box would be 5.2 wheats per box, and many of us are getting closer to 10 or so per box.

Yep I dig up 4-6 wheaties per $25 box pretty consistantly.

Re: Percent of wheats/pre-40s

PostPosted: Fri Jan 04, 2013 2:07 pm
by iatetacos
i average 6 wheat per bag i run through my ryedale. every 3 bags i get one pre 40. i probably have some of the worst percentages here...

Re: Percent of wheats/pre-40s

PostPosted: Wed Jan 09, 2013 11:39 am
by Shifty51
8% of Wheats I find are pre 40.

One average I find 1 pre 40 every 1.8 boxes. So roughly I find 1 pre 40 every other box.

Keep in mind this is on average. I go months sometimes and don't find any pre 40's and then hit 4 or 5 in a box