Rebound? Did we just see the bottom?

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Re: Rebound? Did we just see the bottom?

Postby Jonflyfish » Tue Jan 03, 2012 2:31 pm

I hope I'm 100% wrong (because I don't like being the partypooper) but the risk has compounded.

Cheers!
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Re: Rebound? Did we just see the bottom?

Postby beauanderos » Tue Jan 03, 2012 2:52 pm

Jonflyfish wrote:I hope I'm 100% wrong (because I don't like being the partypooper) but the risk has compounded.

Cheers!

I figured we'd already witnessed a fairly strong upside today, so based on the premise that da boyz might retaliate I've positioned myself to now benefit from a move in either direction. For the record, Jon, there may well be truth in pricing (it's just that I have more fun when I can toss conspiracy theories around :lol: , makes the passage of time more entertaining for me :D ). And since I positioned myself into triple leverage using tranches, I was able to exit today from a considerable portion of that position at a profit.
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Re: Rebound? Did we just see the bottom?

Postby barrytrot » Tue Jan 03, 2012 2:58 pm

beauanderos wrote:I figured we'd already witnessed a fairly strong upside today, so based on the premise that da boyz might retaliate I've positioned myself to now benefit from a move in either direction. For the record, Jon, there may well be truth in pricing (it's just that I have more fun when I can toss conspiracy theories around :lol: , makes the passage of time more entertaining for me :D ). And since I positioned myself into triple leverage using tranches, I was able to exit today from a considerable portion of that position at a profit.


I haven't done the math on it, but I would imagine that constantly playing the "move either way" strategy probably would net you a nice profit about 90% of the time in this random environment we are in. Although with the option premiums working against you on that strategy maybe it's closer to a 75% profit.
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Re: Rebound? Did we just see the bottom?

Postby mongo » Tue Jan 03, 2012 7:25 pm

I believe what we just saw the last few weeks was price manipulation at its finest. My only regret is that I didnt buy more. My hunch is that silver will be back up to the mid to upper 30s real soon. I have no evidence of this only a hunch. With the current economic condition right now I think PMs have nowhere to go but up. But either way im going to just keep sorting and stacking.

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Re: Rebound? Did we just see the bottom?

Postby beauanderos » Tue Jan 03, 2012 8:18 pm

mongo wrote:I believe what we just saw the last few weeks was price manipulation at its finest. My only regret is that I didnt buy more. My hunch is that silver will be back up to the mid to upper 30s real soon. I have no evidence of this only a hunch. With the current economic condition right now I think PMs have nowhere to go but up. But either way im going to just keep sorting and stacking.

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My broker wanted to know if I had inside information with the trades I was placing today. I told him Mongo had spoken. He replied "huh?" I said "yep, the Hunch is back from another dame!" :lol:

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Re: Rebound? Did we just see the bottom?

Postby mongo » Tue Jan 03, 2012 10:54 pm

To me it looks like the hunch is back FOR another Dame not from another Dame. R-R-R

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Re: Rebound? Did we just see the bottom?

Postby Jonflyfish » Mon Jan 09, 2012 12:44 am

beauanderos wrote:
Jonflyfish wrote:I hope I'm 100% wrong (because I don't like being the partypooper) but the risk has compounded.

Cheers!

I figured we'd already witnessed a fairly strong upside today, so based on the premise that da boyz might retaliate I've positioned myself to now benefit from a move in either direction. For the record, Jon, there may well be truth in pricing (it's just that I have more fun when I can toss conspiracy theories around :lol: , makes the passage of time more entertaining for me :D ). And since I positioned myself into triple leverage using tranches, I was able to exit today from a considerable portion of that position at a profit.


Conspiracy theory aside, you seem like a very intelligent and savy market sage. Good to see that you and some others here are actively hedging and positioning in the electronic arena to enhance the physical. Yin-Yang

Cheers!
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