silverflake,
That's very reasonable.
I wouldn't do it
But it's very reasonable.
Here is my strategy: Don't buy something that has any chance of a long term loss. I checked and since 2008 I don't have one sell that didn't result in a profit. Incredible you say? No, I just picked obvious companies that would return a profit. And does that mean I sold higher than I bought every time? Nope, you don't need to if you have sold options on it. The overall cost vs. the overall sell has always been higher for me. And that includes several times where the stock retreated by over 25% in the SHORT TERM.
I will be surprised if Silver is under 30 forever. Maybe. But I doubt it. And as long as it eventually rises above 30 then I win. In fact, for some of my shares I'm winning right now since I've been selling options for a while on some of the shares.
NOTE: I'm sure that someone will say, "there is no such thing as a sure thing". I don't really know about that actually. Companies like Microsoft, Apple, Exxon, (dozens of others), have insane levels of profit and are set such that other than nuclear war or similar they WILL MAKE A PROFIT for at least the next 5 years. Could that profit be lower? Yes. Could it be Zero? No, not statistically possible without complete societal meltdown.
So I would be willing to make the statement that you can pick 100% results (LONG TERM) discounting the complete destruction of our economy.
NOTE: Some would then say that the destruction of the economy is guaranteed to happen soon. I would say, you could be right, but if that happens I'm beyond boned anyway, so I won't care if my stocks also go down since my life will go from TERRIFIC down to HORRIFIC either way
And, of course, I have my own metal hoard to live off, but that sounds like my worst nightmare.