It's a fact that Goldline rips people off. There are many ill-informed people out there and they take full advantage of that. They push common foreign gold coins, call them rare and charge huge premiums for them. They also spend a fortune on marketing. There are many online bullion dealers that pay 5-10% under spot, I deal with several.
No disagreement on my part about gold line
The talking bobble heads on tv have been saying that gold was a bubble since around $700/oz. A 25% correction would be such a gift because I would load up the truck.
Agreed, I'm not saying gold is in a bubble, I'm saying regardless of if it is we will see bubble burst type correction when "something" happens, don't ask me what the something is, perhaps margins go up to 50%, whatever. Regardless anywhere from 2 weeks to 2 years from now we will probably see a 25% correction, I'll be buying hand over fist just like you, trust me. And I believe this correction will stagnate for 1 to 4 years as the media will say See see its been a bubble all along, public sentiment which is just now warming to gold/silver will go down, a lot of dumb people will sell and get burned, and they will not provide the support to raise the price of gold back up short/med term, so long as the institutionals/sovergns/george soro's of the world play it right they will be able to buy alot of gold during this phase, and win out long term. I personally will be buying as fast as I can because my market cap is not nearly enough to affect the market.
Lots of speculation is occuring in the paper market, that's why they play their little games raising the margin requirements. Still, there are a few topping/sell signals one must pay atttention to. Historically, when the DOW reaches, or comes close to a 1:1 ratio with gold, that is a topping/sell signal (the stock market is a criminal syndicate in itself, but I won't go into that here).
Agreed, PM on margins is a bit of a scary thing, I almost wish they would just get it over with go 50% margin and be done, we would probably see $900-1k gold for a while, but then they would have wasted their powers and probably be a smooth upward slope untill such time as the fiat monetary system gets some serious issues addressed.
Thanks for the heads up on the dow/gold ratio I'll have to do some research to see if I agree with this but it sounds reasonable now that you explain it.
Even assuming I agree, my comfort level would probably say keep my stock/PM ratio about the inverse of the dow/pm ratio. IE gold is currently about 15% of dow and I am 15% invested in stocks/mut funds at this time in IRA which I consider my play money, and I have the opposite ratio in my non IRA assets except instead of stock market my money is invested in small businesses, my gold buying venture, a tax prep business which is my "main business" are about 90% of my net worth, with the rest invested in non numi coins. I will probably try to continue this ratio until such time as its 50/50 at which point I will start selling PM to keep the inverse ratio mentioned above. This is a strategy that I call agressively conservative.
The gold thing is taking off and has the potential to give taxe buis a run for its money and I'm only 5 months in... gonna invest about 5k in advertising for gold business over the next 3 months and if it works I will probably reassess the tax business and potentially quit expanding it in leiu of gold buying outlets. Of course my home/car/personal property are not included in thiese percentages because they are not investments but merely a "cost of living"
In 1980 people formed lines around the block at coin stores and pawn shops to buy gold. When the general public is falling all over themselves to buy any asset class, you should be selling it. The public is only starting to becoming aware of G&S right now.
The credit bubble has burst and now it has become the bailout bubble. The FED and other central banks of the world are printing/creating fiat currency like crazy. Entire counties are bankrupt (including the US). I fully believe we are on the precipice of a global meltdown. Gold and silver are nowhere near a bubble. They are the only true safe haven out there right now
I agree that gold and silv are no where near the Top of a bubble, I think we are entering bubble runup territory and PMs will be the next bubble or the one after that. If you are 60 and you go all in on gold you may see a correction of 25%ish and enough media hype to keep it down there for a year or 4, then we will see the bubble start, after the comex has used up all their their margin tricks. I'd hate to see someone so near needing that money being forced to sell at less than favorable prices. I can wait for the next gold boom to sell if I miss this one.
I'm long:
Phys Silver (american junk silvercoins/ASEs/other government minted bullion coins but not circ silver/foreign numi)
Silver ETFs
Lead
Small business which I have direct influence over
intend to go long gold scrap soon.
intent/am starting to go long Copper/nickel coins.
Survival food/water/supplies
I'm holding off on aquiring, but considering:
Gold import business
Diamond import business
Income producing property
Gas station (Ghetto)
I'm short:
Numi coins, sell em as soon as I find em, and refuse to pay any premium for numi coins. I think we are heading for a situation where numi premium is going to shrink and pm value will eclipse it. Note Numi value of stamps/baseball cards/other collectables has gone to hell in the last 15 years. Numi premiums have shrunken though not as much, the only thing keeping numi coins from plummeting is the fact that they are also backed by silver/gold, and silver/gold investors usually start to like numi coins as well..
Fine jewelry: again I'd rather have the PM instead of the jewelry, I sell any fine jewelry in good condition asap, or I scrap it, and salvage the diamonds for short term sale.
Colored Gemstone: Don't invest in these, synthetics are getting too good, all gemstone prices are dropping
Diamonds: Again like numi coins, stamps and baseball cards, this is a luxury item and not as recognizeable as money, Sell them at a good price if you can and buy PMs instead, just don't give them away.
I may be right, I may be wrong, I'm prepared to face the consequenses either way. (disclaimer below)
These of course are my own thoughts and opinions If you think I'm right, do your own research, if you think I'm wrong let me know why, I'll do some research and perhaps change my opinion or perhaps give you some info that will change yours. Regardless I'm very agressive, dont follow my plan without a lot of research, and don't follow my plan with retirement money if you are above 50