Lemon Thrower wrote:i did this and here is how i looked at.
1. you pay income tax on what you take out, but you would have anyway. the amount in your IRA is before taxes. you still have to pay them when you are 59 or whenever. so the only consideration should be the 10% surtax.
I'm not going to worry about the "collapse" arguments, that's a matter of opinion.
Here is information about the purely DOLLAR VALUE arguments:
Ok, let's assume that your current tax rate is 30% and at retirement it would be 60%. So taxes DOUBLE. That's very possible, I admit!
The penalty is 10% (I assume Lemon is correct.)
Let's say retirement is 20 years away.
For round numbers you have $100,000.
So if you cash out today you pay a 40% payment.
$60,000 remaining.
Let's say bullion goes up by 15% every year.
After 20 years you have: $981,992.24
However, you still get taxed at 60% since that's the rate. (We are also throwing out tax evasion, of course. And I'm sure everyone agrees that the level of government intervention by then will make it much harder to avoid taxes.)
So your NET AFTER TAX:
$428,796.89. (Remember the first 60,000 is "tax free" as you already paid taxes on it.)
If you instead kept the $100,000 in your IRA and invested in SIVR or one of the other funds that matches silver (or whichever bullion you prefer, of course). (We are throwing out the "government seizure" and "government collapse" arguments for now.)
So you earn 15% per year as well.
Net: $1,636,653.74
Now you pay taxes of 60%:
$654,661.50 which is 53% more money than the early withdrawal scenario.
So Lemon Throw and others, unless you are thinking that IRA funds will disappear you are better off staying in the IRA from a monetary stand point.
NOTE: My assumption is that you hold the bullion and sell it in 20 years. If you buy-sell that means you pay taxes that year so your result could be smaller as a result of removal of principle prior to the 1.15x multiplier every year.