999Ni wrote:Folks,
Do you have a certain silver spot price in mind for when you are going to sell everything off and bail outta the silver game?
OR
Are you going to wait it out and consider other factors going on in the world and make your decision then?
OR
Are you gonna hold silver forever until the dollar collapses so you can use it to barter with?
Interesting post, probably on a lot of peoples mind as well. It seems that there is two prevailing logics to this question. One group that wishes to move into another assest when the price is right, e.g. housing. Another is in for the long haul, more as a means of financial 'insurance'. Then lastly theres the day traders who are trying to accumulate FRN's which seems a little risky at this point in the game but more power to them. As the price of silver rises its likely that there will be more volatility on the downside like gold. Ex: It could move $3 in a couple hours, something thats been unheard of so far.
Its always close to impossible to time the 'up's' and 'down's'. That being said, I think theres a couple smart scenarios.
1. If you have a small to medium sized stack, and we're lucky enough to buy low, you could potentially sell enough to just pay initial investment. Meaning you sell at around double of what you bought it at. This is a good 'safe' bet because you could 'pay off' your initial 'stack' so that the remainder is 'free' and if it goes to the moon, then awesome. If it crashes you didnt lose a penny AND have some shiny coins to play with. The problem with this scenario is that its extremely hard to decide the 'price point' to sell out and break even on your initial return.
2. You could sell it all high and hope for a crash downward (deflation?) However this seems extremely risky and unlikely frankly. One analyst pointed out that if there was a short term deflation, nobody in their right mind would sell physical silver, say at, $7 a oz. Maybe a few would panick, but its unlikely.
3. Hold on tight, for as long as feasible. This seems to be the potentially most 'rewarding' of all scenarios. However you'd have to come to terms with the fact that in theory you could lose it all. E.g. dont take out a second mortage on your house to buy silver and then watch it crash and be homeless. However people who plan to do this usually follow the logic that silver has intrinsic value as a means of monetary exchange. Worst case in this scenario, you still have those shiny coins to look at.
Dont ever borrow money to buy silver. Make sure your ends are met. Dont count on 'hitting it big' and 'Living large' from silver. It could happen but dont count on it.
I personally dont think the 'mad max' barter situation is going to happen. If it does Id be even more skeptical that'd it happen in our lifetime. I hope Iam right on that