Cu Penny Hoarder wrote:IMO, it is the WSS "buy at any price" crowd who is mainly responsible for premiums rising so rapidly and why premiums remain high. The bullion dealers are loving it though.
We saw big premium increases for a while after silver fell from near $50 back in 2011. We saw premiums like this when it dipped to $12 in March 2020. Both long before WSS was a thing. I think this is more indicative of the modern spot price being increasingly determined by huge institutional bankers trading paper contracts at volumes much greater than what metal exists in the warehouse, and less by actual producers and consumers of metal trading tangible goods or executing physical delivery on contracts. Going back about 15 years now, each time we've had a notable drop in the spot price, the going rate for retail physical silver has decoupled from the spot price at a greater magnitude and for a longer period of time than the previous event.
Gold and silver spot prices generally used to move opposite of the rest of the stock market on bad financial news as investors sought stability. Now the spot prices follow the rest of the market down big and down fast, but there is still a significant spike in demand for retail physical metals. Physical buyers end up paying the same or even more than they would have before the spot price dropped. Investors are still seeking silver and gold on bad financial news, but the paper spot price isn't reflecting that demand, as retail physical buyers are a drop in the bucket relative to modern institutional paper trading.
The physical premium increase is also across the board. Premiums from mints to wholesalers, wholesalers to dealers, and dealers to buyers are all up. It's also reflected in the premiums paid for secondary market materials.
I guess that's all to say, considering that one market is dominated by big banks trading paper contracts for mostly imaginary silver (a few of which have been caught manipulating the market), and the other is cash trading hands for physical metal with delivery, I think it's more accurate to call the spot price artificially low than it is to call the physical price artificially high.
Cu Penny Hoarder wrote:Even though WSS membership is at 217,000 now, many who bought at the $30 level do not seem to be active participants anymore, some are bots and spam accounts. I would like to know how much advertising revenue that site pulls in on a monthly basis. Which makes me wonder... are the owners of WSS site getting paid to pump silver and junior silver miners? It would not surprise me.
WSB and WSS for sure have their share of low-information, impulsive, and reckless participants. That's kind of the point of those subreddits
. But that's not how Reddit works in terms of revenue. Subreddit mods don't "own" anything on Reddit and don't get any advertising revenue from Reddit. A subreddit is more like you starting a thread here on Realcent. Your thread could go viral, get ten million replies, and bring in a million new members, but you wouldn't get a dime from Realcent for that. As far as I know it's still against Reddit terms for mods to get paid. They are supposed to be strictly volunteer. But what is possible is individual members with a lot of influence making secret deals with sponsors to hype their products or services. Communities tend to frown upon that behavior and call it out when it becomes apparent, but it happens. I don't keep up with WSS enough to really see if it's happening there.