theo wrote:I'm not quite "backing up the truck" but I'm buying at a fairly decent clip. Call it aggressive dollar cost averaging. Although, I know that most think silver is going to have quiet Summer (and they are probably right) I'm also mindful of the fact that we are are merely one event (S & P downgrade, negative comments from China etc) away from things turning on a silver dime.
RR GUY wrote:So with the price having fallen back in the last few weeks to the low thirties, I''ve started buying for the first time since the drop to 32 a month or so ago That being said, it hasn't been that easy to find much that's very reasonable at the moment. I visited a few coin shops on the weekend, and even with a strap of Benjamins in my pocket, nobody had much to sell me for any reasonable price. They want 25x to 27x junk and a whopping $5-7 for average Morgans. One dealer even shooed me away, he wasn't interested in having me clean out his stock (these guys want the guy who comes in and buys two coins for 30X face, rather than sell me a few thousand of inventory for a small profit). So, I figured I would spend some time on the ebay and see if I do any better. No luck, I won twelve lots after bidding on 300, I was bidding about 24x for junk and melt +4 for Morgans. I saw a lot of average stuff, non-key date coins going close to 30x. What gives?
I also spent some time this week visiting a few flea markets and antique dealers looking for some fine sterling objects. Not much out there for reasonable prices with the exception of odd forks and spoons. I did score for spot a nice hallmarked english George V tankard and a nice American silver tray. A lot of running around and not much to buy.
neilgin1 wrote:RR GUY wrote:So with the price having fallen back in the last few weeks to the low thirties, I''ve started buying for the first time since the drop to 32 a month or so ago That being said, it hasn't been that easy to find much that's very reasonable at the moment. I visited a few coin shops on the weekend, and even with a strap of Benjamins in my pocket, nobody had much to sell me for any reasonable price. They want 25x to 27x junk and a whopping $5-7 for average Morgans. One dealer even shooed me away, he wasn't interested in having me clean out his stock (these guys want the guy who comes in and buys two coins for 30X face, rather than sell me a few thousand of inventory for a small profit). So, I figured I would spend some time on the ebay and see if I do any better. No luck, I won twelve lots after bidding on 300, I was bidding about 24x for junk and melt +4 for Morgans. I saw a lot of average stuff, non-key date coins going close to 30x. What gives?
I also spent some time this week visiting a few flea markets and antique dealers looking for some fine sterling objects. Not much out there for reasonable prices with the exception of odd forks and spoons. I did score for spot a nice hallmarked english George V tankard and a nice American silver tray. A lot of running around and not much to buy.
RR, thanks for the report/post, which has just served to give me more antedoctal evidence of the strength of the market.
We can always "decide" what we're willing to pay, or think where the market should be, but in a ripping bull market, sometimes you just gotta hit offers..."25X's?"..."buy it". "27X's?" "buy it"...when i get in a silver buying mood, i just take out offers, and i dont think twice. i been on Ebay too, seen the lay of the land, i stick with rolls.....and yeh, there's the usual cast of characters, that filth offering clad and promises, and i been seeing a lot of dimes trading at 32 to 34X, and i been seeing Halves trading anywhere from 26 to 30X, but i been moving into Dollars, and such. So if i want a roll, and i see some new Ebayer with say 19 ratings bidding hard, i'll lay back...they give you the most trouble, but if i see guys with 500 to 2000 ratings, and i want that roll, i just slash and burn, coz usually they will lay off.
as far as ASE's i too have a seen that coin shop, i wont even mention by name, offering BIN ASE Rolls for $1300, which would just be foolishness to hit that offer TODAY...but come a time, an ASE roll at 1300 will seem cheap, but then those guys will be offering rolles at $2700....lol.
what they're laying for, is the black swan event, say the Israeli's do a HUGE number on the Iranian nuclear program, silver could go up $30 to $50 in a week, and it could happen.
FRN's are cooked, Bernacke's gonna to do a stealth QE3, thats a given....so i'm thinking, you mean i can give somebody PAPER, and they give me SILVER? WOW!!! NOW...THAT's a deal!,,,you watch brother, thats how it's gonna go down, not if, but when. be blessed, neil
neilgin1 wrote:theo wrote:I'm not quite "backing up the truck" but I'm buying at a fairly decent clip. Call it aggressive dollar cost averaging. Although, I know that most think silver is going to have quiet Summer (and they are probably right) I'm also mindful of the fact that we are are merely one event (S & P downgrade, negative comments from China etc) away from things turning on a silver dime.
Theo, brother, i got a very deep leading that its going a long, literally and metaphorically hot, nasty brutish summer. Chess pieces are in motion and a fell wind is a blowing. For starters, i'm not liking these Nebraska bureaucrats are spinning the berm bursting at the nuke plant, and i dont like the way the media is burying this low level flash mob insurrection story, and finally Bernacke has no other course of action that to stealth kick QE3 into action.
stack STUFF and watch your six, bud....serious.
RR GUY wrote:neilgin1,
I don't quite know how to respond to your last post. Yes, I do have considerable wealth. I had a head start with some family money and made great investments in real estate throughout the years. I started buying small apartment buildings and industrial properties in less desirable areas in the early 1990s. I was able to buy properties well below replacement value and properties that were on the edge of gentrification. Unlike many real estate investors, I invest for cash flow and I've never sold a property. In fact, I don't sell anything, never sell coins, never sell antiques and never will sell my prized Rolls-Royces, hence the moniker. Sometimes I read some of the posts here and I can't relate to this feeling that the world is coming to an end. There is no doubt that we are in trouble, but if things get as bad her as many prognosticate, well the rest of the world is eternally screwed. I began collecting coins in the 1980s as a teenager, but started buying for investment about 10 years ago. I invest in PMs for the same reason that you do, to preserve wealth. That being said, I find parts of the survival argument highly flawed. The notion that you should put all of your funds into non-earning assets would leave you with a pile of the stuff that would only last you some period of time. Furthermore, if the world you envision comes to fruition, you can kiss your job, your trading accounts and your health insurance goodbye. Is that the world you really want? To have a pile of stuff that nobody can afford to buy from you? I'm not smart enough to know the solution to the current debasement of our currency, however, you do have to be opportunistic in your investments, and that means preserving liquidity and owning business or financial assets that can fund your acquisitions in tougher times. And never owe the banks to much money. They have figured out that there has been no real wealth creation in the country for some time now, and are only interested in pillaging the middle class, where the bulk of American wealth has been stored for the past 50 years. This was an accident, the elite both liberal and conservative never wanted the middle class to have such wealth and have figured out how to take it back for themselves via their prefered vehicles, Wall Street and the now four or five banks that control some 90% of US deposits. As for your estimates for US minted silver coins, well, these seem highly optomistic. Silver could easily trade back to the 25:1 ratio, which would put silver at a fair value of about $60 today. We could get there within the next year or two, but I find it hard to believe that gold can continue to gain at the pace it has in the past.
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