What are your price trend indicators for silver?

[JJM]

What are some of your personal INDICATORS on where the price of silver is going?

I know one member on here likes to talk about looking at eBay offerings - total #, quality, actual sales prices, etc.

Here are some of mine:
- I always look at Tulving's website to see if he is sold out on bags of junk silver, or it is stacked high.
- TMAT posting WTB ads on this site is usually a good sign the price is moving up.
- Watching how fast junk silver sells on here, and at what % to spot, is another macro trend indicator in my mind.

The lack of excitement when silver moves a dollar or more in a day, in either direction, both in here and other forums I read, is telling as well.

[Silver Addict]

I'm more of a technicals type person. Silver just broke above the 50day MA today. If it can hold it for 3 days, good things should come.

[SoFa]

I look at the chart. It's potentially breaking out above the downtrend line and (as SA pointed out) the 50 day moving average.

[Engineer]

I use a combination of charts (trend lines, and how far above or below 2 & 6 month moving averages) along with the private seller supply on Craigslist.

[JJM]

I thought about asking for non-technical indicators, and am glad I didn't b/c the three replies so far are all technical. Feel free to expound on your theories guys, I know myself and (presumably) others would love to hear them.

Personally, I figure my attempts to read the marketplace are influenced by the charts at least to a degree, as the buying/selling behavior in the marketplace is to a certain degree influenced by these charts. With that said, I think the manipulation factor subtracts at least some value from the charts, but have no way of quantifying is this is a significant amount or not.

I also try to know as much about the world economy as I can, looking at things from a historical perspective as well when appropriate.

All of these things suggest sub-$25 silver to me, I know some chartists who agree. YMMV of course. But in waiting for it, I may miss another doubling in the price of silver, you never know. But I'm never smart enough to sell at any peak, nor am I nimble enough on my feet to play the market in both directions.

[Engineer]

An easy rule of thumb is to buy when gas is cheap, and sell when gas is high.

Since oil/gas prices are tied in pretty closely with PMs, one way to dollar cost average is to give yourself a gas allowance every payday and spend whatever is left over on silver.