copper or silver?

This forum is for discussing hunting and collecting US and Canadian circulation Silver Bullion Coins, other types of minted bullion, and other types of precious and base metal investments other than Bullion Pennies and Nickels.

Please Note: These articles are to inform your thinking, not lead it. Only you can decide the best place for your money, and any decision you make will put your money at risk. Information or data included here may have already been overtaken by events – and must be verified elsewhere – should you choose to act on it.

copper or silver?

Postby lance » Mon Mar 26, 2012 12:54 pm

Suppose you had 5k and it had to be invested in either silver or copper...not both...would you do 5k in copper pennies at fv...or silver at spot price? And explain your reasoning
lance
Penny Collector Member
 
Posts: 383
Joined: Fri Feb 10, 2012 10:53 pm

Re: copper or silver?

Postby db23 » Mon Mar 26, 2012 1:00 pm

If given the chance to buy $5000 worth of copper cents at FV in 1 shot, it'd be silly to not do this instead of the silver at spot. Even if you were to just flip the copper for 1.3-1.4 cents a piece, it'd turn your $5000 into $7000-$8000. You can then take this $7-8K and drop it on even more silver...
db23
Penny Hoarding Member
 
Posts: 579
Joined: Mon May 16, 2011 5:48 am

Re: copper or silver?

Postby Cu Penny Hoarder » Mon Mar 26, 2012 1:56 pm

Silver. Buy it now... hold... you'll look like a genius in a year or two.

Fortunately, we can still get copper way under spot by simply hoarding pre1982 pennies.
Time is precious, stop wasting it.
Cu Penny Hoarder
Post Hoarder
 
Posts: 2293
Joined: Tue Sep 06, 2011 8:44 pm

Re: copper or silver?

Postby reddirtcoins » Mon Mar 26, 2012 2:33 pm

If you could flip the copper all in one shot I would flip the copper and buy silver otherwise, I would buy silver.
"Truth, like gold, is to be obtained not by its growth, but by washing away from it all that is not gold."- Leo Tolstoy
User avatar
reddirtcoins
1000+ Penny Miser Member
 
Posts: 1478
Joined: Tue May 17, 2011 7:19 pm
Location: Oklahoma

Re: copper or silver?

Postby lance » Mon Mar 26, 2012 2:39 pm

Cu Penny Hoarder wrote:Silver. Buy it now... hold... you'll look like a genius in a year or two.

Fortunately, we can still get copper way under spot by simply hoarding pre1982 pennies.


Why do you say in a year or two? And the question was more geared towards the longer term investment...even 5 yrs or so...do you guys think we will see copper rise much? Obviously silver is more bullish...but thats good and bad
lance
Penny Collector Member
 
Posts: 383
Joined: Fri Feb 10, 2012 10:53 pm

Re: copper or silver?

Postby ZenOps » Mon Mar 26, 2012 2:54 pm

Copper is correctly priced at a rarity ratio of 5300x ratio to gold, which means copper is just about where it should be at $4/pound.

Silver is undervalued based on rarity, Nickel is also undervalued based on rarity. Assuming gold and copper are where they "should" be, Nickel should be about $2.80 an ounce or so ($45/pound) to catchup. Neodymium at $450 per kilogram was massively overpriced based on rarity (but not overpriced based on supply)

That is assuming that metals are where they should be, and are not overvalued or undervalued in general. Personally, I think nickel should be well into the $5 per ounce range once nickel is demonetized from the US monetary system (too valuable to circulate, like gold in '33 and silver in '64)

The US appears to have enough copper (8.1 gram Susan B, Sacagawea, Presidential dollars) to never have to demonetize copper in my lifetime if they should happen to decide to go back on a metal standard.

Brits are demonitizing nickel this year, its too expensive to circulate as a 1 pound coin and they will be culling the smaller denominations immediately.
Beaver collector
User avatar
ZenOps
Penny Collector Member
 
Posts: 402
Joined: Sat Sep 10, 2011 7:00 pm

Re: copper or silver?

Postby Oakair » Mon Mar 26, 2012 3:47 pm

ZenOps wrote:Copper is correctly priced at a rarity ratio of 5300x ratio to gold, which means copper is just about where it should be at $4/pound.

Silver is undervalued based on rarity, Nickel is also undervalued based on rarity. Assuming gold and copper are where they "should" be, Nickel should be about $2.80 an ounce or so ($45/pound) to catchup. Neodymium at $450 per kilogram was massively overpriced based on rarity (but not overpriced based on supply)

That is assuming that metals are where they should be, and are not overvalued or undervalued in general. Personally, I think nickel should be well into the $5 per ounce range once nickel is demonetized from the US monetary system (too valuable to circulate, like gold in '33 and silver in '64)

The US appears to have enough copper (8.1 gram Susan B, Sacagawea, Presidential dollars) to never have to demonetize copper in my lifetime if they should happen to decide to go back on a metal standard.

Brits are demonitizing nickel this year, its too expensive to circulate as a 1 pound coin and they will be culling the smaller denominations immediately.


Interesting (but, source for bolded)?...I found JJN as a possible investment vehicle...I might take a chance at that, but im pretty dang confused as to its current direction/trend...

I like silver, I really do....it just, seems much more versatile than nickel (which, in my understanding, is an industrial metal heavily tied to the continuity of the growth of the world economy)
User avatar
Oakair
Penny Hoarding Member
 
Posts: 939
Joined: Wed Jul 06, 2011 1:21 pm
Location: DENVER

Re: copper or silver?

Postby lance » Mon Mar 26, 2012 4:07 pm

I guess part of me is worried about copper because suppose we get rid of all coins down the road...the fed has to be one of the biggest buyers of copper id imagine..wouldnt that effect that value? And the way silver has been bouncing around im a tad skeptical on that also...as for roll searching you cant go wrong though.
lance
Penny Collector Member
 
Posts: 383
Joined: Fri Feb 10, 2012 10:53 pm

Re: copper or silver?

Postby daviscfad » Mon Mar 26, 2012 4:08 pm

I would buy AsE's and flip them since were buying at spot
Spencer Davis

Learning, Turning, & Earning

inquiring minds want to know!

Old Feedback Thread
User avatar
daviscfad
Super Post Hoarder
 
Posts: 3897
Joined: Wed Jun 18, 2008 3:00 pm

Re: copper or silver?

Postby ZenOps » Mon Mar 26, 2012 6:15 pm

Nickel is the current world monetary metal. The highest level circulating Euro coins a mix of cupronickel and pure nickel (inner and outer rings) Canadian dollar is also nickel (loonie and toonie)

The British cuprozinc pound (with a fraction of nickel) is similar to the US (mostly unused) copper dollars.

So you can sort of see a war, with the British and US seeming to want to go with copper as a monetary base, and Canada and the Euro wanting a nickel standard. It in many ways parallels the old silver standard war with the gold standard (Europeans used to have gold dollars, but the US began using silver dollars)

Since I'm from Canada and nickel is abundant, I'll champion the nickel standard over a copper standard. Besides: If copper got too high (Say $10+ per pound) the electrical grid of the US would be stolen in a matter of weeks. I don't think the US can afford to let copper get too high, oil is completely another matter - if oil gets too high - people will just be forced to carpool, heh.
Beaver collector
User avatar
ZenOps
Penny Collector Member
 
Posts: 402
Joined: Sat Sep 10, 2011 7:00 pm

Re: copper or silver?

Postby exbingoaddict » Mon Mar 26, 2012 6:28 pm

Since the question is framed as A or B without any other options.

I'd go with silver. My thinking is that one couold acquire the CU cents over a period of time instead of taking it all in bulk. Likewise the silver could be unloaded much quicker also if needed.
User avatar
exbingoaddict
Penny Collector Member
 
Posts: 411
Joined: Thu Nov 04, 2010 2:09 pm
Location: Parts Unknown

Re: copper or silver?

Postby tractorman » Mon Mar 26, 2012 6:29 pm

I ran across this link somewhere. Take it for what you will.

http://www.guardian.co.uk/business/feedarticle/10140035
User avatar
tractorman
Penny Hoarding Member
 
Posts: 616
Joined: Fri Sep 02, 2011 2:13 pm
Location: Out standing in my field

Re: copper or silver?

Postby ZenOps » Mon Mar 26, 2012 6:44 pm

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Abundance_ ... th's_crust

Newly updated production numbers for this year: Copper is about 10x more available than Nickel. Gold is now 6,300x ratio to copper (and that will probably grow, as one has to go deeper to get less and less gold)

Gold and silver are much easier to liquidate. Copper technically must be demonitized (ability to meltdown) before its true value as a metal can be achieved.

Side note: Iron ore has gone from about $12/ton in 2001 to $180/ton in 2011... That is a massive price move that outshines even silver.

And: IF the US were to release a $5 8-gram pure nickel coin, I think it might go over better than the 8-gram copper dollars... But thats just an idea.
Beaver collector
User avatar
ZenOps
Penny Collector Member
 
Posts: 402
Joined: Sat Sep 10, 2011 7:00 pm

Re: copper or silver?

Postby fb101 » Mon Mar 26, 2012 7:43 pm

silver
User avatar
fb101
Too Busy Posting to Hoard Anything Else
 
Posts: 4039
Joined: Mon May 05, 2008 3:00 pm
Location: Phila suburbs

Re: copper or silver?

Postby pennyguy » Mon Mar 26, 2012 8:41 pm

Silver
$5000 of silver will be about 10 lbs
$5000 of copper pennies will be about 3400 lbs :o
Thats a lot of lifting
User avatar
pennyguy
Penny Collector Member
 
Posts: 344
Joined: Tue Jul 26, 2011 10:04 pm
Location: Northern Indiana

Re: copper or silver?

Postby John_doe » Mon Mar 26, 2012 8:44 pm

depends on how much space I was working with. If plenty of space, then I would go with the coppers.
Ancora Imparo

"You can't control the wind, but you can adjust your sails."

-Albert Einstein
User avatar
John_doe
Post Hoarder
 
Posts: 2502
Joined: Sat Apr 02, 2011 10:38 pm

Re: copper or silver?

Postby lance » Mon Mar 26, 2012 8:50 pm

As most people we work on a budget...sometimes i go back and forth in my head to stop sorting copper and just sort and buy silver...then i miss sorting and focus on copper...its just one of those things where i am unsure what i should invest a majority of my money in.
lance
Penny Collector Member
 
Posts: 383
Joined: Fri Feb 10, 2012 10:53 pm

Re: copper or silver?

Postby everything » Mon Mar 26, 2012 9:06 pm

Silver. Many of us already have more copper than we will ever have gold or silver.
everything
Penny Hoarding Member
 
Posts: 817
Joined: Wed Oct 12, 2011 11:43 pm
Location: Central Wisconsin

Re: copper or silver?

Postby tedandcam » Tue Mar 27, 2012 8:04 am

If I could get Canadien cents at face (like many of our friends up north) ,I would aquire them, scrap them at a U.S. facility, aquire more and repeat until I got cut off in the process, percentages got low or just got tired of the process. Then I would purchase silver on a dip.

Reasons:

Copper is bulky (hard to bug out with in a SHTF scenario although some will be useful)

Canadien over U.S. because Canadien is #1copper. U.S. is considered bronze and does not have the melt value that many consider it to have( check this out at your local scrapyard) Also Canadien can be melted at the present time U.S. cannot.

Silver is much more recognized for its monetary value than copper (again, some copper is useful) Silver is money copper can be converted to money.

And last but not least, I like the color better :)
tedandcam
Penny Collector Member
 
Posts: 297
Joined: Mon Dec 05, 2011 5:42 am
Location: Missouri

Re: copper or silver?

Postby SilverDragon72 » Tue Mar 27, 2012 8:55 pm

I would probably go with the majority of it in Silver. Truth be told, if silver were more affordable, I would own a lot more than I do now. However, I do like coin roll sorting (even with the filthy pennies). The process is slow, sorting by hand, but I do enjoy the excitement when I find something unique in a roll, either pennies or nickels. I can go to my credit union and order several boxes of pennies, enough to keep me busy sorting for hours. It would be nice to have bags of 90 percent silver too....OH I CAN'T MAKE UP MY MIND!! :x :lol:
User avatar
SilverDragon72
1000+ Penny Miser Member
 
Posts: 1609
Joined: Mon Feb 27, 2012 6:16 pm
Location: South Central Wisconsin

Re: copper or silver?

Postby John_doe » Tue Mar 27, 2012 9:06 pm

tedandcam wrote:If I could get Canadien cents at face (like many of our friends up north) ,I would aquire them, scrap them at a U.S. facility, aquire more and repeat until I got cut off in the process, percentages got low or just got tired of the process. Then I would purchase silver on a dip.

Reasons:

Copper is bulky (hard to bug out with in a SHTF scenario although some will be useful)

Canadien over U.S. because Canadien is #1copper. U.S. is considered bronze and does not have the melt value that many consider it to have( check this out at your local scrapyard) Also Canadien can be melted at the present time U.S. cannot.

Silver is much more recognized for its monetary value than copper (again, some copper is useful) Silver is money copper can be converted to money.

And last but not least, I like the color better :)



yep. 8-) we don't have the good fortune of our northern neighbors. oh well, we get cheaper shipping.
Ancora Imparo

"You can't control the wind, but you can adjust your sails."

-Albert Einstein
User avatar
John_doe
Post Hoarder
 
Posts: 2502
Joined: Sat Apr 02, 2011 10:38 pm

Re: copper or silver?

Postby Lemon Thrower » Wed Mar 28, 2012 5:44 am

silver is a monetary metal and copper is largely an industrial metal.

if you think the fiat money system is crumbling, then buy silver.

if you think growth in the world economy will increase, buy copper.

copper v. nickel: viewtopic.php?f=7&t=13386
Lets Go Brandon!
User avatar
Lemon Thrower
Super Post Hoarder
 
Posts: 3756
Joined: Fri Jun 13, 2008 10:00 am

Re: copper or silver?

Postby SoFa » Wed Mar 28, 2012 11:35 am

It seems like a no brainer to me. Assuming the copper is presorted, you get the pennies at face and flip them.
If you can get a nearly instant 20% return you always must take it.
SoFa
Penny Collector Member
 
Posts: 373
Joined: Thu Jul 07, 2011 12:06 pm

Re: copper or silver?

Postby penny pretty » Fri Mar 30, 2012 11:51 pm

silver is ALSO an industrial metal! as it gets consumed in solar, medical, and industrial uses, the "scarcity" will become more pronounced.as for copper, look to the police report in your local newspaper. what metal is STOLEN the most?
"Is that a roll of pennies in your pocket?" "Why yes miss, it is... why do you ask?"
User avatar
penny pretty
Penny Hoarding Member
 
Posts: 638
Joined: Mon Sep 26, 2011 10:12 pm

Re: copper or silver?

Postby Numis Pam » Tue Apr 03, 2012 11:56 pm

SoFa wrote:It seems like a no brainer to me. Assuming the copper is presorted, you get the pennies at face and flip them.
If you can get a nearly instant 20% return you always must take it.



+1 I very much agree with this point of view!
Too Busy Sorting and Hoarding to Post Very Often! :-)
Numis Pam
1000+ Penny Miser Member
 
Posts: 1774
Joined: Sun Jun 06, 2010 3:00 pm
Location: Boomer Sooner

Next

Return to Silver Bullion, Gold, & other Bullion Metals

Who is online

Users browsing this forum: Bing [Bot] and 41 guests