Silver prices dropping

This forum is for discussing hunting and collecting US and Canadian circulation Silver Bullion Coins, other types of minted bullion, and other types of precious and base metal investments other than Bullion Pennies and Nickels.

Please Note: These articles are to inform your thinking, not lead it. Only you can decide the best place for your money, and any decision you make will put your money at risk. Information or data included here may have already been overtaken by events – and must be verified elsewhere – should you choose to act on it.

Re: Silver prices dropping

Postby Rodebaugh » Tue Feb 08, 2011 1:12 pm

Jonflyfish wrote:
Jonflyfish wrote:Mortgaged the farm and am all in on Comex futures @ 26.72



So far so good...The system prevails. :)



Looks like it may be time to buy a larger farm with all of those profits. Nice call JFF
This space for rent. :)
User avatar
Rodebaugh
Realcent Moderator
 
Posts: 7959
Joined: Fri Aug 14, 2009 3:00 pm

Re: Silver prices dropping

Postby Jonflyfish » Mon Feb 21, 2011 10:21 am

Jonflyfish wrote:Mortgaged the farm and am all in on Comex futures @ 26.72


Ok- Starting to unwind from here ($33.72) to go buy a bigger farm.

Cheers!
User avatar
Jonflyfish
1000+ Penny Miser Member
 
Posts: 1717
Joined: Tue Dec 16, 2008 10:00 am
Location: USA

Re: Silver prices dropping

Postby Deathwish_DW » Mon Feb 21, 2011 11:53 am

You probably made bank :P
Deathwish_DW
Penny Pincher Member
 
Posts: 115
Joined: Sat Nov 20, 2010 6:15 am

Re: Silver prices dropping

Postby coppertone » Mon Feb 21, 2011 12:04 pm

Nice job!!
coppertone
Penny Pincher Member
 
Posts: 164
Joined: Tue Jan 05, 2010 3:00 pm

Re: Silver prices dropping

Postby Jonflyfish » Mon Feb 21, 2011 6:29 pm

Thanks guys. Never know for sure in advance of course.

Cheers!
User avatar
Jonflyfish
1000+ Penny Miser Member
 
Posts: 1717
Joined: Tue Dec 16, 2008 10:00 am
Location: USA

Re: Silver prices dropping

Postby Jonflyfish » Mon Feb 21, 2011 6:53 pm

Ok- This is where some gains are- $34.05
User avatar
Jonflyfish
1000+ Penny Miser Member
 
Posts: 1717
Joined: Tue Dec 16, 2008 10:00 am
Location: USA

Re: Silver prices dropping

Postby Country » Mon Feb 21, 2011 8:15 pm

Jonfly - Is JPM and friends covering their shorts as the worldwide hedgies put on their squeeze? Sure looks like it....
Humankind has not woven the web of life. We are but one thread within it. Whatever we do to the web, we do to ourselves. All things are bound together. All things connect. ~Chief Seattle, 1855
User avatar
Country
Realcent Moderator
 
Posts: 7701
Joined: Mon Mar 23, 2009 3:00 pm
Location: Virginia, USA

Re: Silver prices dropping

Postby 68Camaro » Mon Feb 21, 2011 8:27 pm

I don't think this is a "normal" run-up. A rise was somewhat due, but this is magnified by the world events. People all over the world are buying. There are (probably temporary) shortages of smaller amounts (big bars seem to still be available) as supply of small forms is depleted. While I believe in a long-term continued run-up, I'm personally hoping we get at least one more major pull-back so I can consider one more (and possibly last) volume purchase.
In the game of Woke, the goal posts can be moved at any moment, the penalties will apply retroactively and claims of fairness will always lose out to the perpetual right to claim offense.... Bret Stephens
The further a society drifts from the truth, the more it will hate those that speak it. George Orwell.
We can ignore reality, but we cannot ignore the consequences of ignoring reality. Ayn Rand.
User avatar
68Camaro
Too Busy Posting to Hoard Anything Else
 
Posts: 8307
Joined: Thu Dec 30, 2010 6:12 am
Location: Disney World

Re: Silver prices dropping

Postby Jonflyfish » Tue Feb 22, 2011 8:07 pm

Country wrote:Jonfly - Is JPM and friends covering their shorts as the worldwide hedgies put on their squeeze? Sure looks like it....


Spent last week in London working on a major metals trading project for one of the principal members of the LBMA for Loco London and the LPMC.
They were long thousands of 1000 oz bars to benefit from the market development. It is quite fascinating to note that when it comes to silver, they refer to their trades and positions in terms of tons (many). A typical gold transaction is xx thousands of kilo bars.

As a side note- because of the bulk, silver transactions are transported by vessel, whereas gold is shipped via air.
Last edited by Jonflyfish on Tue Feb 22, 2011 8:15 pm, edited 1 time in total.
User avatar
Jonflyfish
1000+ Penny Miser Member
 
Posts: 1717
Joined: Tue Dec 16, 2008 10:00 am
Location: USA

Re: Silver prices dropping

Postby 68Camaro » Tue Feb 22, 2011 8:13 pm

Corporations operate in the billions - most of us here are operating in the teens, hundreds, maybe thousands at most... Big difference in scale! I would love to see one of those vaults!
In the game of Woke, the goal posts can be moved at any moment, the penalties will apply retroactively and claims of fairness will always lose out to the perpetual right to claim offense.... Bret Stephens
The further a society drifts from the truth, the more it will hate those that speak it. George Orwell.
We can ignore reality, but we cannot ignore the consequences of ignoring reality. Ayn Rand.
User avatar
68Camaro
Too Busy Posting to Hoard Anything Else
 
Posts: 8307
Joined: Thu Dec 30, 2010 6:12 am
Location: Disney World

Re: Silver prices dropping

Postby argent_pur » Wed Feb 23, 2011 12:43 am

68Camaro wrote:Corporations operate in the billions - most of us here are operating in the teens, hundreds, maybe thousands at most... Big difference in scale! I would love to see one of those vaults!


I don't know much about much, but this much I know---every time I buy one more gold ounce, a hair stands up on the neck of some COMEX gold trader a thousand miles away...

...it promptly goes back down and he shrugs it off as nothing important :cry:
"Capitalism is the unequal distribution of wealth...Socialism is the equal distribution of poverty."

-Don't know who said it, but it's awesome;)
argent_pur
Penny Collector Member
 
Posts: 439
Joined: Sat Jun 26, 2010 10:00 am
Location: NW Illinois

Re: Silver prices dropping

Postby 68Camaro » Wed Feb 23, 2011 6:14 am

argent_pur wrote:
68Camaro wrote:Corporations operate in the billions - most of us here are operating in the teens, hundreds, maybe thousands at most... Big difference in scale! I would love to see one of those vaults!


I don't know much about much, but this much I know---every time I buy one more gold ounce, a hair stands up on the neck of some COMEX gold trader a thousand miles away...

...it promptly goes back down and he shrugs it off as nothing important :cry:


Ah, there is that other scale which I didn't include but you implied. There are millions, tens of millions of us. That, times one ounce at a time, eventually equals billions.
In the game of Woke, the goal posts can be moved at any moment, the penalties will apply retroactively and claims of fairness will always lose out to the perpetual right to claim offense.... Bret Stephens
The further a society drifts from the truth, the more it will hate those that speak it. George Orwell.
We can ignore reality, but we cannot ignore the consequences of ignoring reality. Ayn Rand.
User avatar
68Camaro
Too Busy Posting to Hoard Anything Else
 
Posts: 8307
Joined: Thu Dec 30, 2010 6:12 am
Location: Disney World

Re: Silver prices dropping

Postby 68Camaro » Wed Feb 23, 2011 6:19 am

Overnight gold has stayed over $1400 and silver over $33. Any comments from the seasoned traders?
In the game of Woke, the goal posts can be moved at any moment, the penalties will apply retroactively and claims of fairness will always lose out to the perpetual right to claim offense.... Bret Stephens
The further a society drifts from the truth, the more it will hate those that speak it. George Orwell.
We can ignore reality, but we cannot ignore the consequences of ignoring reality. Ayn Rand.
User avatar
68Camaro
Too Busy Posting to Hoard Anything Else
 
Posts: 8307
Joined: Thu Dec 30, 2010 6:12 am
Location: Disney World

Re: Silver prices dropping

Postby Jonflyfish » Thu Feb 24, 2011 2:15 am

68Camaro wrote:
argent_pur wrote:
68Camaro wrote:Corporations operate in the billions - most of us here are operating in the teens, hundreds, maybe thousands at most... Big difference in scale! I would love to see one of those vaults!


I don't know much about much, but this much I know---every time I buy one more gold ounce, a hair stands up on the neck of some COMEX gold trader a thousand miles away...

...it promptly goes back down and he shrugs it off as nothing important :cry:


Ah, there is that other scale which I didn't include but you implied. There are millions, tens of millions of us. That, times one ounce at a time, eventually equals billions.


The caveat emptor, and irony that perhaps warrants some thought, is that the LBMA is the single largest physical PM market. So, when the principal members trade, it is from the vaults and not solely FRN digits on a screen. Many are aware of JP Morgan and the confirmed reports about the financial shorts on the CME NYMEX COMEX. What isn't disclosed is the physical position (not the custodial accounts) of JP Morgan, one of the handful of LBMA principal members trading PM physicals in the largest physical transaction size market (not to forget about the LME industrial physical metal positions).

Blythe may have been caught with the proverbial smoking gun, but there is always more to the story than the obvious.
This post is not to defend JPM. Just thought it may be relevant info worth sharing.
User avatar
Jonflyfish
1000+ Penny Miser Member
 
Posts: 1717
Joined: Tue Dec 16, 2008 10:00 am
Location: USA

Re: Silver prices dropping

Postby Jonflyfish » Thu Feb 24, 2011 3:20 pm

Interesting level now at 31.86
User avatar
Jonflyfish
1000+ Penny Miser Member
 
Posts: 1717
Joined: Tue Dec 16, 2008 10:00 am
Location: USA

Re: Silver prices dropping

Postby Jonflyfish » Thu Feb 24, 2011 3:29 pm

Couldn't help myself. Felt obligated to scoop it up.
User avatar
Jonflyfish
1000+ Penny Miser Member
 
Posts: 1717
Joined: Tue Dec 16, 2008 10:00 am
Location: USA

Re: Silver prices dropping

Postby argent_pur » Thu Feb 24, 2011 3:37 pm

Jonflyfish wrote:The caveat emptor, and irony that perhaps warrants some thought, is that the LBMA is the single largest physical PM market.


I knew I should've snagged that 1 oz. gold Britannia from ebay :x Seriously, though, I get what you're saying. There's alot of gold out there to buy...heck, I was on a different forum today where a guy was trying to move over 14 tonnes of it. There are many countries that don't have that much gold! I have a book written by a guy named Jonathan Spall (dir. of commodities at Barclays Bank) and he was saying that, among the pros, it is considered extremely unprofessional, even offensive, to conduct transactions of less then 5,000 ozs. of gold.

I've said before, although I don't think here, that we won't see gold rise dramatically until BIG institutional money starts buying. A few central banks becoming net buyers is encouraging, but pension funds, mutual funds, hedge funds, 401k's---collectively have something like 1/3 of 1% of their portfolios in gold (paper, mind you, not physical).

Edit: Going back to a gold-backed int'l currency would also do the trick...
"Capitalism is the unequal distribution of wealth...Socialism is the equal distribution of poverty."

-Don't know who said it, but it's awesome;)
argent_pur
Penny Collector Member
 
Posts: 439
Joined: Sat Jun 26, 2010 10:00 am
Location: NW Illinois

Re: Silver prices dropping

Postby Jonflyfish » Thu Feb 24, 2011 3:43 pm

argent_pur wrote:
Jonflyfish wrote:The caveat emptor, and irony that perhaps warrants some thought, is that the LBMA is the single largest physical PM market.


I knew I should've snagged that 1 oz. gold Britannia from ebay :x Seriously, though, I get what you're saying. There's alot of gold out there to buy...heck, I was on a different forum today where a guy was trying to move over 14 tonnes of it. There are many countries that don't have that much gold! I have a book written by a guy named Jonathan Spall (dir. of commodities at Barclays Bank) and he was saying that, among the pros, it is considered extremely unprofessional, even offensive, to conduct transactions of less then 5,000 ozs. of gold.

I've said before, although I don't think here, that we won't see gold rise dramatically until BIG institutional money starts buying. A few central banks becoming net buyers is encouraging, but pension funds, mutual funds, hedge funds, 401k's---collectively have something like 1/3 of 1% of their portfolios in gold (paper, mind you, not physical).



Interesting and thank you for commenting. BarCap is a principal member of the LBMA and the offensive trade there is anything less than $1mm in value and the common trade is in increments of x * 1,000 kilo bars of either .995 or .999 gold bars.
User avatar
Jonflyfish
1000+ Penny Miser Member
 
Posts: 1717
Joined: Tue Dec 16, 2008 10:00 am
Location: USA

Re: Silver prices dropping

Postby argent_pur » Thu Feb 24, 2011 3:53 pm

The further east you go, I think, the more .999+ becomes more common, I think I read that somewhere. 99.5% is the minimum standard of purity for LBMA 400 oz. bars, is that right?
Also, on the subject, I have a quick list here of the market-making members of the LBMA: (for everyone's enjoyment and info.)

Bank of Nova Scotia--ScotiaMocatta
Barclays Bank PLC
Deutsche Bank AG
Goldman Sachs Int'l
HSBC Bank USA NA
JP Morgan Chase Bank
Mitsui & Co. Precious Metals, Inc.
Royal Bank of Canada Ltd.
Societe Generale
UBS AG

Bear Stearns used to be on that list...have they been replaced or did I leave anyone out JFF?
"Capitalism is the unequal distribution of wealth...Socialism is the equal distribution of poverty."

-Don't know who said it, but it's awesome;)
argent_pur
Penny Collector Member
 
Posts: 439
Joined: Sat Jun 26, 2010 10:00 am
Location: NW Illinois

Re: Silver prices dropping

Postby Jonflyfish » Thu Feb 24, 2011 4:47 pm

argent_pur-
There are full memebers, market making members and then there are the members of the London Precious Metals Clearing limited, who are at the top of the food chain.
This list includes- BarCap, Deutsche , HSBC, JP Morgan, Scotia, and UBS.

The dealings are specified up front if they are in .995 or .999 since they are handled differently (Brinks) between different vaults.
User avatar
Jonflyfish
1000+ Penny Miser Member
 
Posts: 1717
Joined: Tue Dec 16, 2008 10:00 am
Location: USA

Re: Silver prices dropping

Postby Jonflyfish » Thu Feb 24, 2011 8:25 pm

Jonflyfish wrote:Interesting level now at 31.86


Feeling lucky
User avatar
Jonflyfish
1000+ Penny Miser Member
 
Posts: 1717
Joined: Tue Dec 16, 2008 10:00 am
Location: USA

Re: Silver prices dropping

Postby Jonflyfish » Fri Feb 25, 2011 11:02 am

Jonflyfish wrote:Interesting level now at 31.86



Tight stop trail from $33
User avatar
Jonflyfish
1000+ Penny Miser Member
 
Posts: 1717
Joined: Tue Dec 16, 2008 10:00 am
Location: USA

Re: Silver prices dropping

Postby Jonflyfish » Fri Feb 25, 2011 3:39 pm

Dynamic stops trailing at 32.89 for half and 32.73 for the other half.
User avatar
Jonflyfish
1000+ Penny Miser Member
 
Posts: 1717
Joined: Tue Dec 16, 2008 10:00 am
Location: USA

Re: Silver prices dropping

Postby Jonflyfish » Tue Mar 01, 2011 8:18 am

Some gains taken @ 34.47
User avatar
Jonflyfish
1000+ Penny Miser Member
 
Posts: 1717
Joined: Tue Dec 16, 2008 10:00 am
Location: USA

Re: Silver prices dropping

Postby Jonflyfish » Tue Mar 01, 2011 3:43 pm

Another slice out @ 34.63
User avatar
Jonflyfish
1000+ Penny Miser Member
 
Posts: 1717
Joined: Tue Dec 16, 2008 10:00 am
Location: USA

PreviousNext

Return to Silver Bullion, Gold, & other Bullion Metals

Who is online

Users browsing this forum: No registered users and 51 guests