If the dollar were to go belly-up.

This forum is for the discussion of USA coin and paper money collecting that is unrelated to saving bulk Copper Bullion Penny, Nickel & CuNi Bullion Nickel, or Silver Coins for metal content. Feel free to post scheduled coins shows.

If the dollar were to go belly-up.

Postby thecrazyone » Mon Dec 21, 2020 10:51 am

2021 feels like the impending Danger Zone to me.

1. new virus strains
2. new, questionable president
3. continued job loss and business loss
4. continued hacking of U.S. Treasury and Nuclear networks

That said, if the dollar were to go belly-up, how quickly would it happen? 6 months? A month? Other?

And if it did, would banks and establishments start accepting grams of gold and silver in payment for goods/services?

I'm legitimately concerned, here.
Author: Bring CHANGE Into Your Life (A Truly Easy Investment Tool)
https://www.amazon.com/Bring-CHANGE-Int ... 1077276869
thecrazyone
Post Hoarder
 
Posts: 2438
Joined: Mon Aug 12, 2019 3:20 pm

Re: If the dollar were to go belly-up.

Postby coppernickel » Mon Dec 21, 2020 1:21 pm

I have read and studied widely, from Ruff to Rawles, and hyperinflation lessons from Weimar Germany, Hungary, China, the Soviet Union, Argentina, and Zimbabwe. I have been too busy this year, and the news from Venezuela has been sparse, for me to fully understand what is actively happening there this year.


My understanding is it takes about 1-4 weeks for a currency collapse to start rolling. The second month is the worst, and by the end of month six, it is basically done. The more totalitarian the government the more condensed and severe it becomes and the longer the start can be pushed down the road.


I think most major economies are on the precipice. China may be the last country in the lemming parade.

These might help.
Rawles, J. W. (2009). How to survive the end of the world as we know it; tactics, techniques, and technologies for uncertain times. London: Plume
Ruff, H. J. (1979). How to prosper during the coming bad years. New York: Times Books.
Silver Monometalism is the most permanent and stable form of money the world has seen. Natural law and history prove silver value is best multiplied by gold and best divided by copper. It is only in this counterfeit currency time when the natural law appears suspended.
User avatar
coppernickel
1000+ Penny Miser Member
 
Posts: 1094
Joined: Fri Aug 14, 2009 10:00 am
Location: American Redoubt

Re: If the dollar were to go belly-up.

Postby Changechecker » Mon Dec 21, 2020 5:38 pm

I ask if you are legitimately concerned what have you done to prepare?
Have you stocked your pantry with food and consumables
Do you have six months of income saved in hard currency? (Nickels, copper cents, even clad quarters)
Have you learned a valuable second skill?
If the virus worsens Biden is already planning a national lock down.
If bank close how will you transact-think about the coin shortages.
A wise man plans before the storm, especially knowing what happened during the last one.
Are you ready?
Changechecker
Penny Collector Member
 
Posts: 325
Joined: Thu Nov 17, 2016 8:21 pm

Re: If the dollar were to go belly-up.

Postby 68Camaro » Mon Dec 21, 2020 6:46 pm

Dollar is already going belly up. It's a matter of your time scale but the early warning signs are already there. We are officially at infinite money printing that is escalating and with no reasonable hope of reversing at this point. Near zero interest rates and "money" flooding the. market have caused escalating stock prices in the midst of what should have been a pandemic market crash. With bonds not paying any worthwhile premium investors are looking for alternate locations to put their funds. But pick wrong and you will lose everything.

Pay attention to changechecker's warning. The key is are you prepared and what will you do in advance? By the time it becomes obvious that we've hit a tipping point it will be too late for most people to change direction (plus they will waffle and delay initially, making it even more difficult for them to make the right decision). People will argue that no one could have predicted this - that's BS - it has been predicted for at least a decade (if not several). Do what you need to do now.
In the game of Woke, the goal posts can be moved at any moment, the penalties will apply retroactively and claims of fairness will always lose out to the perpetual right to claim offense.... Bret Stephens
The further a society drifts from the truth, the more it will hate those that speak it. George Orwell.
We can ignore reality, but we cannot ignore the consequences of ignoring reality. Ayn Rand.
User avatar
68Camaro
Too Busy Posting to Hoard Anything Else
 
Posts: 8372
Joined: Thu Dec 30, 2010 6:12 am
Location: Disney World

Re: If the dollar were to go belly-up.

Postby ScrapMetal » Tue Dec 22, 2020 8:47 am

A bit off topic but fits into the cost of borrowing money.
Mortgage loans have gone below 2% and it seems that many loan companies are competing for business. So who in their right minds are so willing to lend money at 2% ?
What is the incentive of the loan companies when they could take their stash of money and make a ton of money short term in the booming stock market?
Who also wants to tie up a fortune long-term at 2% interest rate?
The only angle that I can figure out is the possible default on the loan over the 30 years and the loan company gets the house.
ScrapMetal
Penny Collector Member
 
Posts: 266
Joined: Sat Sep 01, 2012 3:27 pm

Re: If the dollar were to go belly-up.

Postby thecrazyone » Wed Dec 23, 2020 9:00 am

To answer some of the questions asked by others in this thread, I have already done the following:

1. bought a small lot of physical gold
2. I have some silver already that I've had for quite some time
3. I do have copper cents, not enough to pay every bill, but I have them
4. I had liquid cash on-hand until Christmas shopping came, but I will replenish that within the next month

Those things said, I'm definitely trying to be "ready". But, that's why I was curious as to a potential timeline. With weeks/months, I can work more at changes. But, if it were an overnight thing, I'd be in trouble!
Author: Bring CHANGE Into Your Life (A Truly Easy Investment Tool)
https://www.amazon.com/Bring-CHANGE-Int ... 1077276869
thecrazyone
Post Hoarder
 
Posts: 2438
Joined: Mon Aug 12, 2019 3:20 pm

Re: If the dollar were to go belly-up.

Postby Changechecker » Wed Dec 23, 2020 1:13 pm

Can't eat precious metals. You may be better off than most but you are going to have a hard time if the dollar crashes. Do you think you will be able to buy food with your p.m.'s? Stores will accept silver coins at actual face value i/e a silver dime is just a dime to them. If the dollar crashes do you really want to sell p.m.'s for paper? Paying for anything with copper cents in the initial phase will be difficult at best. You may want to re-evaluate your strategy.
Changechecker
Penny Collector Member
 
Posts: 325
Joined: Thu Nov 17, 2016 8:21 pm

Re: If the dollar were to go belly-up.

Postby Morsecode » Wed Dec 23, 2020 9:47 pm

Metals may play well on the way down, and again for a time on the rebound (if there is one), but the bottom is going to be so much worse than we can probably imagine if the dollar does indeed collapse.

In face to face trades with like-minded individuals sure, a 10 oz bar might swap for a box of ammo. I don't see retail ever accepting silver for clothes or food or gas. Government would outlaw it anyway, along with bitcoin. They would not take kindly to the relatively few savvy citizens swimming against the mainstream misery.

And you think the Covid plandemic is overrun with disinformation? An economic collapse will be impossible to report truthfully even as it rolls east to west across the country, escalating the fall.
Let's Go Brandon Kamala
User avatar
Morsecode
Too Busy Posting to Hoard Anything Else
 
Posts: 4161
Joined: Thu Feb 10, 2011 10:04 pm
Location: Southern New England

Re: If the dollar were to go belly-up.

Postby coppernickel » Wed Dec 30, 2020 10:24 pm

Morsecode wrote:An economic collapse will be impossible to report truthfully even as it rolls east to west across the country, escalating the fall.


I think you meant "East to West" as a spin of phrase, but would it start in the East, maybe New York, and move West?"
Silver Monometalism is the most permanent and stable form of money the world has seen. Natural law and history prove silver value is best multiplied by gold and best divided by copper. It is only in this counterfeit currency time when the natural law appears suspended.
User avatar
coppernickel
1000+ Penny Miser Member
 
Posts: 1094
Joined: Fri Aug 14, 2009 10:00 am
Location: American Redoubt

Re: If the dollar were to go belly-up.

Postby Recyclersteve » Thu Dec 31, 2020 5:23 am

Not the healthiest of foods, but I’ve got plenty of foods like Spam (and Cheerios and canned peas and ammo too) to ride out the storm. I do plan on it being quite ugly.
Former stock broker w/ ~20 yrs. at one company. Spoke with 100k+ people and traded a lot (long, short, options, margin, extended hours, etc.).

NOTE: ANY stocks I discuss, no matter how compelling, carry risk- often
substantial. If not prepared to buy it multiple times in modest amounts without going overboard (assuming nothing really wrong with the company), you need to learn more about the market and managing risk. Also, please research covered calls (options) and selling short as well.
Recyclersteve
Too Busy Posting to Hoard Anything Else
 
Posts: 4584
Joined: Sun Jan 20, 2013 5:59 am
Location: Where I Want To Be


Return to USA Numismatics

Who is online

Users browsing this forum: No registered users and 3 guests