shinnosuke wrote:Descartes said: "I think, therefore I am." My normal rationale is: The market is manipulated, therefore, I buy.
Admittedly fantasy, but if everybody buying for that reason were to stop purchasing coins, bars, etc., for a month, how much would the price drop due to decreased demand? Can all the peons like me make a difference in the price? Would the force be with us?
Z00 wrote:The final warning has been issued. If you do not believe it by now, you never will. No more effort will be expended to try and convince you of the facts. Act accordingly or suffer the consequences of your failure to act.
Thus sayeth The Oracle.
shinnosuke wrote:Z00 wrote:The final warning has been issued. If you do not believe it by now, you never will. No more effort will be expended to try and convince you of the facts. Act accordingly or suffer the consequences of your failure to act.
Thus sayeth The Oracle.
http://www.zerohedge.com/news/guest-post-china-will-blink-and-gold-will-soar
The big point is that China will act and in a meaningful way. What I suggest people do is go back and look at different asset classes from the prior two lows in China’s M2 year-over-year growth rate. The first one occurred in late 2004. The M2 growth rate then accelerated until around mid 2006. In that time period gold prices went up around 65% and the S&P 500 went up 20%. In the second period of acceleration from late 2008 to late 2009 gold was up 65% and the S&P500 was up 15%. We are at one of these inflection points and considering the DOW/Gold ratio is still holding gains from its countertrend rally from last August of almost 40%, this is probably one of the best entry points to buy gold and short the Dow of any time in the last decade. Oh and if you want more juice, when China blinks silver does much, much better than gold...
68Camaro wrote:So... interesting, but I'm lazy. Just how does China control its M2? Does it print to expand?
theo wrote:I know China has made significant progress toward modernizing their economy in the past two decades, but is there enough economic activity to support that level of expansive debt? Certainly not on the consumer side as their middle class is still relatively small. Also their culture isn't nearly as consumption-oriented as ours is. I suppose they can funnel a lot of yaun through the large corporations either owned by or in close partnership with the Government, but is it enough to expand the money supply? The rest is probably done the old-fashioned way; massive government spending on various projects and the military.
68Camaro wrote:I always wonder how much effort is expended to do this, each time.
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