Personally, I think it will be popular. I plan on picking up a cpl of the "P" version, as well as a cpl of the bullion versions. And I haven't purchased any ATB's up until now, but there's no way I'm missing out on this one! Surprisingly, I heard someone say he thought it would look better in the bullion finish instead of the vapor blasted look, but 100k vs 25k is a big difference for mintage...
As you said, the mint DOUBLED their production of quarters for the Hawaii volcanoes design, but are stcking to the limited mintage on the 5 ozers... Even tho the previous releases didn't sell out, I def think this one will. How long it will take tho, who knows. If it doesn't sell out or accumulate a nice sized premium later, it still looks awesome... great design imo
I don't think you can compare this one to all the others because I believe ppl like myself who aren't even buying these ATB's are gonna come out for this one. Hawaii is just that popular... ppl love those lil islands