Robarons wrote:It would be interesting to see how long and at what price its at by the time supply fills back up, starting at $23.60 and at $24.25 still there is nothing.
I imagine that the rapid and vigorous demand depleted the supply chain pipeline well back into it. Local suppliers sold out. The suppliers of the suppliers sold out. The intermediate producers sold out (US and RC Mints and places like Silvertowne). The planchet suppliers to the mints sold out. This went back into the supply chain quite a ways, and because there is a real lead time issue for certain items like planchets, rounds, small bar castings, etc, that rate of consumption couldn't be immediately backfilled, even if there was silver bar available somewhere.
As long as there is truly a physical supply somewhere (stockpiles, comex, mine warehouses not yet shipped) to pull from, and as long as the rate of demand doesn't continue exceed the critical path for supply, the shortage will be temporary. It may take a month or two for them to catch back up.
However, if the rate of demand continues, and/or sufficient root supply is not there somewhere in a bar stockpile or a mine warehouse, the shortages could worsen. That's why I think this has backfired on TPTB, and tend to believe they will let the price drift back up until demand lessens again, at which point they can resume playing their games.
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