highroller4321 wrote:Lemon Thrower wrote:there are a few folks here who do their own refining. Market Harmony and some others. The others may not have found the new board yet, not sure where they are. These are just my guesses from what i learned here.
if silver goes to say $100, people are going to be a lot more discriminating. A roll of 90% halves or quarters, $10 FV which sells for about $160 now will be worth about $800. People are going to sell it by the gram, not the face value. Not sure what happens with 90% and 40% relative to .999. Right now 90% is very liquid and a good deal compared to bullion which is usually +$1an ounce premium. 90% is liquid because its recognizable compared to generic silver rounds, even if they are stamped .999 and 1 troy ounce. Most bullion does not circulate, so in the future, it might be preferred due to consistent weight.
I do not think people will actually melt many coins because there is value in the act of coining and that has come to be recognized, unlike the late 70s.
I may be overly pessimistic about the lower percentage coins, i don't know. the more valuable silver gets, the more feasible it is to pay the cost to separate the silver from the other metal. but it is an uncertainly that is not applicable to the more pure forms of silver.
I think at no matter the price for silver the lower % coins are going to always sell for a discount. Refiners are always going to have a problem with the mangenese in the war nickels and its always going to be more work for the 40% than the 90%. You may be able to get a little more silver for your money with 40% and 35% but when it comes time to selling I think you will get a little less money for your silver.
Of course it's going to sell cheaper if the % is lower.
But i think what he was saying is :
Assuming that the cost of extracting silver out of war nickels is $10/ozt. (i have no idea what the real price is, but it doesn't matter for this example)
If the price of silver is $20/ozt, it cost 50% to recover your silver, no one will does this as it's not economically viable.
If the price of silver is $200/ozt, it cost 5% of the total value to recover your silver, making it more feasible to actually do it.
All this doesn't change a thing if you have 99.9%+ pure silver in your hand.
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