OneBiteAtATime wrote:Volume.
So why is the LCS engaging in extortion when he buys and sells at what the market can bear locally? or in my above examples like the big boy online rretailer.
I yield back the remainder of my time. I gotta sleep.
Jonflyfish wrote:Talk about greed- Many examples offered here about the dishonest extortion by small time dealers who are likely sitting on inventory MtM losses so they gouge unknowing folks and will be straight with the buyer who knows better when no one else is around. I hope unhedged upside down inventory price shocks drive all dishonest dealers out of business...
Cheers!
Engineer wrote:Jonflyfish wrote:Talk about greed- Many examples offered here about the dishonest extortion by small time dealers who are likely sitting on inventory MtM losses so they gouge unknowing folks and will be straight with the buyer who knows better when no one else is around. I hope unhedged upside down inventory price shocks drive all dishonest dealers out of business...
Cheers!
If all these LCS's are extortionists, what does that make other small businesses?
From what I see, all of them raise prices immediately when spot rises, and gradually lower prices after those changes filter through the wholesalers. I know that I'll need to wait a few days after a drop in spot to see a difference at the gas pump, but IMHO that's a lesser evil than waiting in gas lines every time the market takes a dip...or being stuck midway through a road trip with no gas to get home because some banker shorted crude futures.
For that matter, I also don't expect my local butcher to update bacon prices by the minute as pork bellies rise and fall...and I'm grateful for his constant supply.
Jonflyfish wrote:... Just ask what the price is and don't be surprised if the LCS sniffs out to see what he/she/it can get away with, ...
Thogey wrote:I don't understand this argument. I never will understand why folks are offended at prices they feel are unreasonable.
The bullion dealers and coin shops are not withholding medicine, gasoline or god forbid someones social security gubmint cheese.
If you don't like the price, make an offer. As far as bullion goes no one is morally obligated to sell. It's all perceived value anyway.
The ammo situation is a perfect example. If you really need it, it is available for a price. But you better be at Wal-Mart at the right time if you want cheap prices.
RC members are all irritable, just like the last big dip.
Jonflyfish wrote:OneBiteAtATime wrote:So one more question. IfI assure you that the wholesale physical market is the spot price.
but the LCS doesn't buy in the wholesale physical market - It buys in the local market - how does that make them extortionists?
Case in point - when I visited the LCS today, they had no 999 silver on the racks, no one selling. IF someone brought in 50 ASE that they demanded spot + $2 for, and the LCS KNEW due to local shortage that they could sell them for spot +$4, would the LCS be engaged in extortion? Or the seller? Or both?
What prevents them from buying (or selling for that matter) wholesale? I've had quite a few conversations with dealers who participate in the wholesale markets.
Cheers!
natsb88 wrote:Not everybody has the resources to buy and sell silver "by the pallet" as you do. That's like walking into a mom and pop restaurant and complaining that they charge too much for pie because they are buying flour at the grocery store instead of buying 5000 bushel wheat contracts.
To continue that analogy, wheat isn't flour, and 1000 oz COMEX bars are not 1 oz rounds in a dealer's display case. There are a lot of steps in between that require equipment, energy, and labor, and to expect somebody to do it all for free is ridiculous.
All that equipment looks super cheap, eh? And I'm sure all those employees who are trusted around millions of dollars of materials all day are working for minimum wage.
Going back to the wheat thing, the grocery store manager doesn't run out to mark down the price of 5 pound bags of flour the instant the price of wheat futures falls. (In fact I don't think the price of flour ever really goes down). So why expect bullion dealers to do that? Wheat is the main component of flour, but there are other factors like additives, packaging, labor, and of course demand. Silver is the only component of retail bullion, but there is a whole heap of equipment, consumables, energy, and labor involved to get it there, and changes in those factors affect the final price too.
If you are so convinced that dealers are gouging customers and getting rich, why not cash out a pallet of that silver you have and start your own coin shop? People are buying at $2 - $5 over...just throw those 1000 oz bars in the case and wait for the dough to come rolling in.
Wait...nobody will buy those in a retail environment? I guess that means you have to source retail-sized bullion instead. Wonder where you can go to get that. Certainly not COMEX. Doesn't seem like any of the people that bought at $30+ a few weeks ago are walking back in the shop to sell at $23. I guess that leaves you with the mints, and I bet they want a slightly higher premium than normal since demand for their product has gone through the roof and they can only make them so fast. Those b@stards and their capitalism.
Didn't mean to come off as snarky. Well...maybe a little . But I really want to know the secret to this miracle wholesale market for retail-sized bullion with infinite supply that always sells for a constant spot + $0.xx you keep implying exists
Jonflyfish wrote:However, I'll never buy the cheeky excuse that explaining those relatively stable planchet punching costs will drive premiums to fluctuate wildly and inconsistently from one location to the next. That's what I'm talking about.
Jonflyfish wrote:Also, what wholesale market for retail bullion are you taling about?
Jonflyfish wrote:I understand that you have a vested interest in repeating your message about how you bought machines etc. etc.
natsb88 wrote:Jonflyfish wrote:However, I'll never buy the cheeky excuse that explaining those relatively stable planchet punching costs will drive premiums to fluctuate wildly and inconsistently from one location to the next. That's what I'm talking about.
Customers, triggered by a drop in spot price, start placing abnormally large orders with dealers. Dealers, in turn, start placing abnormally large orders with mints. The mints have a relatively steady output, so supply doesn't change much. Increased demand with a fixed supply means the price point goes up. That's how markets work, no? I have noticed a propensity of people to call it "a free market" when it benefits their position, and "gouging" when it does not...
When/if demand subsides, prices will settle down, I think we are in agreement on that. But so long as there is an imbalance in supply and demand, prices for retail physical silver will remain more elevated over the paper price than typical. Unlike the paper market, which can print new contracts to meet demand (let's not pretend the number of contracts floating around is actually equal to the amount of silver in the warehouse), there is real manufacturing and tangible materials going into retail physical bullion, which makes it a finite product.
As far as being inconsistent from one location to the next, that's true to an extent even under regular market conditions in the retail physical silver market. Transactions don't all go through the same clearing house like they do (more or less) in paper markets, but rather are subject to regional availability (in the case of people buying from brick and mortar stores) and personal preference in brand/style/dealer/policies (in the case of internet/mail sales). All that said, retail physical silver prices have gone up nearly everywhere, and those that have not raised "premiums" are not realizing the full value of their products and sell out quickly. So it's not so much of a "wild fluctuation" as it is an across-the-board increase in price.Jonflyfish wrote:Also, what wholesale market for retail bullion are you taling about?
That's what I'm asking you. You are accusing dealers of gouging, saying that silver (which has to mean retail physical silver in this case) is still available at "normal" premiums. Where? Not from the general public. Not from the mints. Where at this moment in time is retail-sized physical silver still available to dealers for immediate delivery at "normal" premiums?Jonflyfish wrote:I understand that you have a vested interest in repeating your message about how you bought machines etc. etc.
I'm a small fish, and I'm only hand-pouring bars at this point. 1000 oz silver buy is out of my reach, let alone 5000 oz. In any case, as a paper trader with a vested interest in asserting that the paper price is the "real" price of silver and the physical price is wrong, would not your repetition be of the same accord, just on the other side of the aisle?
SoFa wrote:Oh big deal. They're charging 20% over spot for fancy BU silver eagles?
These are extraordinary times. Let things settle out and normalize.
Besides the cost of equipment etc, they are the ones taking the risk. Sure they (some of them ) can hedge. But what are they supposed to do if they can't replenish their stock in a couple weeks? Lay everyone off? Let someone else get all the customers.
It would be great if the dealers would sell for a small premium and we could all load up and increase our stacks or flip on ebay for $12 an ounce over spot, but this all came on in a rush. the guys who loaded up on the initial drop took the gamble and they got the goods cheap. No sense in whining. There are other opportunities anyways.
It sucks for the steady customers who can't keep buying at spot plus whatever small amount. But the guys jumping on the bandwagon and complaining because the premiums are up a bit are gouging just as much as any dealer is.
Jonflyfish wrote:However, I can assure you first hand that the paper contract price is the physical price for institutional sized trades.
natsb88 wrote:Jonflyfish wrote:However, I can assure you first hand that the paper contract price is the physical price for institutional sized trades.
It may well be, but that does not necessarily translate to "normal" premiums in the retail-sized physical silver market. It is disingenuous to call a disconnect (temporary or not) between the institutional and retail silver prices "gouging." There is no such thing as gouging in a truly free market, only supply and demand. Gouging can only exist where outside forces (government, regulatory, big business with special privileges, etc.) are in play. And to that point, cash for tangible metal sure looks like a more organic market to me than million-times-per-second electronic trading and "too big to fail" government-nursed companies with unfathomably large short positions to cover. Just sayin'....
natsb88 wrote:Jonflyfish wrote:However, I can assure you first hand that the paper contract price is the physical price for institutional sized trades.
It may well be, but that does not necessarily translate to "normal" premiums in the retail-sized physical silver market. It is disingenuous to call a disconnect (temporary or not) between the institutional and retail silver prices "gouging." There is no such thing as gouging in a truly free market, only supply and demand. Gouging can only exist where outside forces (government, regulatory, big business with special privileges, etc.) are in play. And to that point, cash for tangible metal sure looks like a more organic market to me than million-times-per-second electronic trading and "too big to fail" government-nursed companies with unfathomably large short positions to cover. Just sayin'....
Jonflyfish wrote:Incredibly, and furthermore, the futures market is a zero sum game. there is no market maker that stand in between someone who has to be short where someone has to be long. You can't be unfathomably long or short without someone standing on the other side of the trade.
natsb88 wrote:Those who express the utmost confidence in the integrity of modern day paper markets raise my suspicions. I can't help but wonder if they are innocently naive, a hired shill, or just have friends high enough up to ensure their own safety.
natsb88 wrote:Jonflyfish wrote:Incredibly, and furthermore, the futures market is a zero sum game. there is no market maker that stand in between someone who has to be short where someone has to be long. You can't be unfathomably long or short without someone standing on the other side of the trade.
When there is a huge crowd on one side of the fence all holding relatively small long positions, and only a handful on the other side of the fence holding comparatively gigantic short positions, I would call the position of those few "unfathomably short." Unfathomably unless, of course, they have the kind of influence to ensure it pays off.
Zero sum? I'm skeptical, to say the least. There have been enough scandals, collapses, and failures just in the last five years to prove that even the largest corporations aren't above "a second set of books" to oversimplify it. Those who express the utmost confidence in the integrity of modern day paper markets raise my suspicions. I can't help but wonder if they are innocently naive, a hired shill, or just have friends high enough up to ensure their own safety. It's like sticking the car key up in the visor instead of keeping it in your pocket...what was once an uneventful norm is now just asking for trouble.
Engineer wrote:natsb88 wrote:Those who express the utmost confidence in the integrity of modern day paper markets raise my suspicions. I can't help but wonder if they are innocently naive, a hired shill, or just have friends high enough up to ensure their own safety.
Occam's razor would answer that question with B. Hired shills are cheap and effective at distributing misinformation.
Jonflyfish wrote:SoFa wrote:Oh big deal. They're charging 20% over spot for fancy BU silver eagles?
These are extraordinary times. Let things settle out and normalize.
Besides the cost of equipment etc, they are the ones taking the risk. Sure they (some of them ) can hedge. But what are they supposed to do if they can't replenish their stock in a couple weeks? Lay everyone off? Let someone else get all the customers.
It would be great if the dealers would sell for a small premium and we could all load up and increase our stacks or flip on ebay for $12 an ounce over spot, but this all came on in a rush. the guys who loaded up on the initial drop took the gamble and they got the goods cheap. No sense in whining. There are other opportunities anyways.
It sucks for the steady customers who can't keep buying at spot plus whatever small amount. But the guys jumping on the bandwagon and complaining because the premiums are up a bit are gouging just as much as any dealer is.
Like was mnetioned earlier- if folks don't care about getting gored and gouged then let 'em.
Cheers!
Jonflyfish wrote:You can be skeptical. You also don't participate. If those who participated were skeptical they would vanish faster than one's opinion about what they think but do not know from the sidelines. Those who don't express confidence in the USD don't have to hold it. However, I do not know of any employers or merchants that don't use it. So, I use it. And I prefer to use it instead of my physical position. There is a stong tone from dealers (that wouldn't be you, right) that physical is better than paper. My view is that I go where the opportunity is. I don't have to marry my beliefs that no matter what, there is only one answer. That sounds like a view spread by a dealer. And, BTW- I've never seen dealers happier than when they make a large cash transaction, like they couldn't hand over that metal fast enough. Perhaps the shill in them needed to pay for food, rent, car, kid's tuition, gas in the tank etc. USD is for shills except for when one needs to pay for goods and services. Suddenly it then has tangible value LOL.
Cheers!
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